Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - GROUP C - ROUND 25

Date: 24 March 2024, Sunday


	União de Coimbra		União de Santarém

	1	X	2
	3.6	2.95	1.98
	3.75	3	2
	4.09	2.99	2.02
	4.1	2.99	2
	3.95	3.1	1.92
	3.65	3	2.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.86 ↓ (4.94)	3.01 ↓ (3.25)	1.99 ↑ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

União de Coimbra
23.7%

Draw
30.4%

União de Santarém
45.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.7%

28.4%

52.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.1%

29%

51.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

União de Coimbra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

União de Santarém has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and União de Santarém might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for União de Coimbra than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for União de Santarém than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that União de Santarém could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
65', 1 - 0, Amaral J. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 5 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group (Promotion Group: )).

União de Santarém is Qualified for Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group (Promotion Group )

Recent matches União de Coimbra is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

União de Santarém is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

União de Coimbra could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match União de Santarém is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches União de Coimbra won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- União de Coimbra
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
17.03.24	Marinhense - União de Coimbra	1:0 ✺
10.03.24	União de Coimbra - Peniche	0:1 ✺
03.03.24	SB Castelo Branco - União de Coimbra	0:0 ✺
23.02.24	União de Coimbra - Gouveia	1:0 ✺
18.02.24	Vitória de Sernache - União de Coimbra	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LLTWT
- União de Santarém
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
17.03.24	União de Santarém - SC Lusitânia	2:1 ✺
09.03.24	Rabo de Peixe - União de Santarém	0:1 ✺
03.03.24	União de Santarém - Fontinhas	2:1 ✺
25.02.24	União de Tomar - União de Santarém	0:2 ✺
18.02.24	União de Santarém - Alverca B	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
10.12.23	União de Santarém - União de Coimbra	2:1

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