Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - GROUP C - ROUND 20

Date: 18 February 2024, Sunday


	União de Santarém		Alverca B

	1	X	2
	1.41	3.9	6.75
	1.4	4	7.5
	1.4	3.85	6.8
	1.4	4.12	8.18
	1.37	4.06	7.6
	1.4	4	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.63)	3.99 ↑ (3.5)	7.39 ↑ (5.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

União de Santarém
65%

Draw
22.8%

Alverca B
12.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.7%

26.4%

16.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.4%

25.2%

16%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

União de Santarém has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in União de Santarém's performance.

Alverca B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for União de Santarém than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with União de Santarém that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alverca B than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

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Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group (Promotion Group: ) and 4).

União de Santarém in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Alverca B is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Alverca B could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match União de Santarém is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's União de Santarém to win the game is with odds 1.63.

Last 1 head-to-head matches União de Santarém won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- União de Santarém
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
11.02.24	Mortágua - União de Santarém	0:4 ✺
04.02.24	União de Santarém - Sertanense	2:0 ✺
28.01.24	União de Santarém - Marinhense	0:0 ✺
21.01.24	Peniche - União de Santarém	1:3 ✺
14.01.24	União de Santarém - SB Castelo Branco	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWTWW
- Alverca B
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
14.02.24	SC Lusitânia - Alverca B	1:0 ✺
11.02.24	Alverca B - Marinhense	0:1 ✺
04.02.24	Peniche - Alverca B	0:2 ✺
28.01.24	Alverca B - SB Castelo Branco	1:0 ✺
21.01.24	Gouveia - Alverca B	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
28.10.23	Alverca B - União de Santarém	3:1

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