Match Info

Primera B - Clausura - Round 5

Date: 8 October 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Olímpico Pascual Guerrero (Cali) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Colombia	15:30	Win+ Futbol, Win play
Usa	16:30	Fanatiz


	Atlético Cali		Real Cartagena

	1	X	2
				Watch
	5.00	3.60	1.55
	4.9	3.6	1.6	Watch
	5.37	3.84	1.63
	5.3	3.84	1.61	Watch
	5.3	3.8	1.6
	5.11	3.65	1.57	Watch
	4.9	3.65	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.13 ↓ (5.4)	3.71 ↓ (3.8)	1.59 ↑ (1.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Cali
17.9%

Draw
24.7%

Real Cartagena
57.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

16.6%

23.6%

59.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.1%

22.9%

61.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Cali has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Real Cartagena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Cali than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Cartagena than the current prediction. (+4%)

Atlético Cali - Real Cartagena Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jaramillo Agudelo J. D. (G) 27. Cano C. 7. Delgado J. 10. Eraso G. 3. Mena J. (C) 9. Onate A. 20. Perdomo J. 8. Restrepo C. 22. Valencia A. 15. Veira J. 2. Villa F.	1. Montes A. (G) 17. Aleman J. 99. Castillo D. 25. De Las Salas C. 26. Graciano C. 80. Lopez E. 10. Montero F. 16. Pineda J. 21. Rodriguez J. 5. Solarte Espana J. A. 24. Tegue G.
Substitutes
18. Angulo K. 11. Cabezas C. 19. Cortes J. 13. Galindo J. 6. Hernandez N. 23. Hormaza E. 5. Julio J. 12. Munera J. (G) 24. Saavedra S.	33. Balanta M. 6. Escobar A. 18. Gallego J. P. 22. Gomez Tovar G. E. (G) 8. Guevara L. 9. Manotas M. 27. Melendez A. 13. Rios J. 20. Taffur L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
17', 0 - 1, Montero F. ⚽,
34', 1 - 1, Restrepo C. ⚽,
41', 1 - 2, Aleman J. ⚽,
45+2', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', 🟨,
54', 🟨,
64', Castillo D. ↓, Melendez A. ↑,
72', 2 - 2, Onate A. ⚽,
76', Rodriguez J. ↓, Gallego J. P. ↑,
76', 🟨,
76', Pineda J. ↓, Rios J. ↑,
76', Aleman J. ↓, Taffur L. ↑,
83', Lopez E. ↓, Manotas M. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Cali won 0.

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Bookmakers give the edge to Real Cartagena for this game.

In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Atlético Cali has recorded 0 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:21 (averaging 0.5:2.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Atlético Cali against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 2:9 goals (averaging 0.5:2.3 per game).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Cartagena	15	5	6	4	26:18	8	21

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Cali FC
Colombian Primera B
02.10.26	Atlético Cali - Real Cundinamarca	1:2 ✺
27.09.26	Envigado - Atlético Cali	3:0 ✺
22.09.26	Atlético Cali - Tigres	0:3 ✺
14.09.26	Orsomarso - Atlético Cali	0:2 ✺
08.09.26	Internacional de Palmira - Atlético Cali	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.7 LLLWW
- Real Cartagena
Colombian Primera B
03.10.26	Real Cartagena - Boca Juniors de Cali	2:3 ✺
29.09.26	Unión Magdalena - Real Cartagena	1:1 ✺
21.09.26	Real Cartagena - Envigado	0:0 ✺
12.09.26	Internacional de Palmira - Real Cartagena	2:1 ✺
04.09.26	Orsomarso - Real Cartagena	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera B
13.02.26	Real Cartagena - Atlético Cali	4:1
05.10.25	Real Cartagena - Atlético Cali	4:0
25.04.25	Atlético Cali - Real Cartagena	1:2
11.09.24	Real Cartagena - Atlético Cali	Abandoned
04.04.24	Atlético Cali - Real Cartagena	0:2
23.08.23	Real Cartagena - Atlético Cali	3:1
08.03.23	Atlético Cali - Real Cartagena	1:3

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