Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 13 - Round 9

Date: 2 November 2025, Sunday


	Unión Molinense		Deportivo Marítimo

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.8	5.5
	1.84	2.63	6.36	Watch
	1.49	3.72	6.2
	1.8	3.4	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.82)	3.39 ↓ (3.4)	5.52 ↑ (3.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unión Molinense
55.9%

Draw
27.3%

Deportivo Marítimo
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

26.6%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4%

26.4%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unión Molinense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Unión Molinense's performance.

Deportivo Marítimo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo Marítimo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Molinense than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Unión Molinense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Marítimo than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Marítimo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Unión Molinense - Deportivo Marítimo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
27', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
52', 1 - 1, ⚽,
64', 2 - 1, ⚽,
87', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 and 15).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Deportivo Marítimo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Molinense is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Molinense won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Molinense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unión Molinense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
26.10.25	Unión Molinense - Muleño	1:1 ✺
12.10.25	Unión Molinense - Santomera	0:1 ✺
05.10.25	Caravaca - Unión Molinense	1:2 ✺
28.09.25	Unión Molinense - Cieza	0:2 ✺
20.09.25	Bala Azul - Unión Molinense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TLWLT
- Deportivo Marítimo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
26.10.25	Deportivo Marítimo - Atlético Santa Cruz	1:2 ✺
19.10.25	Santomera - Deportivo Marítimo	0:1 ✺
12.10.25	Deportivo Marítimo - Caravaca	3:0 ✺
05.10.25	Cieza - Deportivo Marítimo	3:1 ✺
27.09.25	Deportivo Marítimo - Bala Azul	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 LWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
20.04.25	Unión Molinense - Deportivo Marítimo	3:0
06.12.24	Deportivo Marítimo - Unión Molinense	1:2

Unión Molinense - Deportivo Marítimo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide