Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 13 - ROUND 14

Date: 17 December 2023, Sunday


	Unión Molinense		Racing Murcia

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.4	5.75
	1.55	3.7	6.34
	1.48	3.7	6.34
	1.47	3.74	6.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.75)	3.64 ↑ (3.4)	6.23 ↑ (4.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unión Molinense
60.4%

Draw
25%

Racing Murcia
14.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52%

26.8%

21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9%

25.9%

20.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unión Molinense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Unión Molinense's performance.

Racing Murcia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Racing Murcia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Molinense than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Unión Molinense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing Murcia than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Racing Murcia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Unión Molinense - Racing Murcia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 13 (Play Offs: ) and 7).

Molinense is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Racing Murcia is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Molinense is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Molinense won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Molinense won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unión Molinense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
03.12.23	Minera - Unión Molinense	2:1 ✺
26.11.23	Unión Molinense - Balsicas Atlético	4:0 ✺
19.11.23	Muleño - Unión Molinense	1:2 ✺
12.11.23	Unión Molinense - Ciudad de Murcia	1:1 ✺
05.11.23	Real Murcia B - Unión Molinense	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWWTW
- Racing Murcia
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
03.12.23	Racing Murcia - Caravaca	0:0 ✺
25.11.23	Lorca Deportiva - Racing Murcia	0:0 ✺
19.11.23	Racing Murcia - UCAM Murcia B	0:1 ✺
12.11.23	Algar - Racing Murcia	1:3 ✺
05.11.23	Racing Murcia - Plus Ultra	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
26.03.23	Racing Murcia - Unión Molinense	2:1
26.11.22	Unión Molinense - Racing Murcia	1:2

Unión Molinense - Racing Murcia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide