Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 13 - ROUND 12

Date: 25 November 2023, Saturday


	Lorca Deportiva		Racing Murcia

	1	X	2
	1.47	3.7	6
	1.51	3.84	5.31
	1.51	3.84	5.31
	1.46	3.9	6.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.64)	3.82 ↑ (3.6)	5.72 ↑ (4.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorca Deportiva
60.6%

Draw
23.6%

Racing Murcia
15.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.4%

25.2%

19.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.5%

21.2%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorca Deportiva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lorca Deportiva's performance.

Racing Murcia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorca Deportiva than the current prediction. (-14.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lorca Deportiva that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing Murcia than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Racing Murcia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 13 (Play Offs: ) and 7).

Recent matches Lorca Deportiva is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Racing Murcia is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Lorca Deportiva is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Lorca Deportiva won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Lorca Deportiva won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Lorca Deportiva
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
19.11.23	Minera - Lorca Deportiva	1:0 ✺
11.11.23	Lorca Deportiva - Balsicas Atlético	1:1 ✺
05.11.23	Muleño - Lorca Deportiva	1:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
31.10.23	Lorca Deportiva - Eibar	0:4 ✺
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
28.10.23	Lorca Deportiva - Ciudad de Murcia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LTWLT
- Racing Murcia
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
19.11.23	Racing Murcia - UCAM Murcia B	0:1 ✺
12.11.23	Algar - Racing Murcia	1:3 ✺
05.11.23	Racing Murcia - Plus Ultra	2:3 ✺
29.10.23	Bullense - Racing Murcia	2:0 ✺
22.10.23	Racing Murcia - Alcantarilla	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
01.04.23	Lorca Deportiva - Racing Murcia	1:0
04.12.22	Racing Murcia - Lorca Deportiva	0:1
24.04.22	Lorca Deportiva - Racing Murcia	1:1
12.12.21	Racing Murcia - Lorca Deportiva	2:2

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