The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Unión Molinense 49.4%
Draw 28.5%
Águilas B 22.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47.2%
27.2%
25.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.4%
26%
24.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Unión Molinense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
Águilas B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
The ML Model estimate for Unión Molinense aligns with the current prediction.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Águilas B than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
Unión Molinense - Águilas B Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
18', 1 - 0, Membrives C. ⚽,
24', 1 - 1, Hernandez F. ⚽,
45', 2 - 1, Martinez R. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
62', 3 - 1, ⚽,
76', 3 - 2, ⚽,
87', 4 - 2, ⚽,
90+3', 🟥,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 13 (Play Offs: ) and 10).
Molinense is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Águilas B has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Águilas B may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Molinense could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Molinense won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
Including home match between the teams, Molinense won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.