The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Unión San Felipe 32.3%
Draw 28.4%
Deportes Iquique 39.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.3%
26.7%
36%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.5%
25.9%
34.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Unión San Felipe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
Deportes Iquique has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión San Felipe than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Unión San Felipe, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Iquique than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
Unión San Felipe - Deportes Iquique Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Canete L. (G) 16. Fuentes D. 34. Suarez C. 2. Perales V. 25. Sanchez V. 6. Leon A. 27. Garcia L. 33. Gonzalez B. 9. Aravena B. 23. Vides B. 21. Brun N.
12. Castillo D. (G) 6. Lopez M. 14. Rojas D. 15. Ayala J. 21. Espinoza F. 26. Ledesma F. 8. Venezia A. 18. Garrido B. 17. Gonzalez C. 11. Ramos A. 7. Jones T.
Substitutes
1. Fernandez A. (G) 20. Fontana A. 3. Guajardo Barrera B. 7. Henriquez O. 28. Jara I. 8. Palmieri N.
19. Arias D. 5. Concha V. 27. Henriquez A. 25. Lopez Z. (G) 3. Palma J. 33. Tello D. 28. Troncoso L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Fontana A. 🟨,
28', Ayala J. 🟨,
32', 🟨,
32', Espinoza F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', 0 - 1, Gonzalez C. ⚽,
48', Palmieri N. 🟨,
59', Fontana A. ↓, Aravena B. ↑,
59', Palmieri N. ↓, Brun N. ↑,
70', Jones T. ↓, Arias D. ↑,
75', Munoz P. ↓, Leon A. ↑,
75', Sanchez V. ↓, Vides B. ↑,
75', Jara Gonzalez G. A. ↓, Galleguillos M. ↑,
79', 0 - 2, Lopez M. ⚽,
86', Perales V. 🟨,
89', Ayala J. ↓, Troncoso L. ↑,
90+3', Fuentes D. 🟨,
90+3', Gonzalez C. ↓, Henriquez A. ↑,
90+3', Venezia A. ↓, Concha V. ↑,
Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 13 and 14).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Unión San Felipe won 2.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Unión San Felipe won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:18. (average 1.1:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Unión San Felipe won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1.8:1).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
12
Deportes Iquique
26
7
10
9
35:30
5
31
15
San Felipe
26
5
7
14
16:44
-28
22
Last Results with these Odds
Unión San Felipe - the odds 2.49 are the expected chance of winning is 37.3%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.
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Canete L. (G) 
Perales V. 
Brun N. 
Lopez M. 
Tello D. 
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