Match Info

Reserve League - Apertura - Round 15

Date: 29 May 2025, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Unión Santa Fe 2		Belgrano 2

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.1	3.3	1.98
	3.35	3.35	1.99
	3.51	3.39	2.02
	3.41	3.42	1.99	Watch
	3.47	3.3	1.97
	3.35	3.35	1.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.37 ↑ (2.91)	3.35 ↑ (3.25)	1.99 ↓ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unión Santa Fe 2
27.1%

Draw
27.2%

Belgrano 2
45.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.3%

28%

40.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7%

27.6%

40.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unión Santa Fe 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Belgrano 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Belgrano 2's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Santa Fe 2 than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Belgrano 2 than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Belgrano 2, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Unión Santa Fe 2 - Belgrano 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', 0 - 1, Oses M. ⚽,
90+1', 1 - 1, Isla I. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Reserve League (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Reserve League (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Unión Santa Fe 2 is Qualified for Reserve League (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)

Belgrano 2 is Qualified for Reserve League (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Belgrano 2 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Belgrano 2 will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Unión Santa Fe 2 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.5:2.5).

Including home match between the teams, Unión Santa Fe 2 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unión Santa Fe 2
Argentinian Reserve League
21.05.25	Barracas Central 2 - Unión Santa Fe 2	0:1 ✺
14.05.25	Unión Santa Fe 2 - Newells Old Boys 2	2:3 ✺
08.05.25	Defensa y Justicia 2 - Unión Santa Fe 2	2:2 ✺
30.04.25	Unión Santa Fe 2 - Central Córdoba 2	0:0 ✺
24.04.25	Aldosivi 2 - Unión Santa Fe 2	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WLTTW
- Belgrano 2
Argentinian Reserve League
21.05.25	Belgrano 2 - Argentinos Juniors 2	2:0 ✺
15.05.25	Tigre 2 - Belgrano 2	2:1 ✺
07.05.25	Belgrano 2 - Boca Juniors 2	1:1 ✺
30.04.25	Estudiantes La Plata 2 - Belgrano 2	2:2 ✺
24.04.25	Belgrano 2 - Talleres de Córdoba 2	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Reserve League
03.11.23	Unión Santa Fe 2 - Belgrano 2	1:2
07.04.23	Belgrano 2 - Unión Santa Fe 2	3:0

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