The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Unión Santa Fe 2 42.2%
Draw 30.4%
Newells Old Boys 2 27.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.6%
31.4%
33%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.5%
30.6%
32.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Unión Santa Fe 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Unión Santa Fe 2's performance.
Newells Old Boys 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Newells Old Boys 2 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Santa Fe 2 than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Unión Santa Fe 2 that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newells Old Boys 2 than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
Unión Santa Fe 2 - Newells Old Boys 2 Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 3)
8', 0 - 1, Mino L. ⚽,
14', 0 - 2, Amadio J. ⚽,
22', 0 - 3, Amadio J. ⚽,
42', 1 - 3, Ratotti F. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
64', 2 - 3, Aguirre M. ⚽,
Preview
The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Reserve League (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Reserve League (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals))
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Unión Santa Fe 2 won 1.
Unión Santa Fe 2 is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Newells Old Boys 2 has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Unión Santa Fe 2 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Unión Santa Fe 2 could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Unión Santa Fe 2 won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.7:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Unión Santa Fe 2 won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.8:1.3).