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Current Win Probability
Newells Old Boys 2 27.1%
Draw 30.2%
Boca Juniors 2 42.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
26.1%
27.8%
46.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.2%
26.9%
47.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Newells Old Boys 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
Boca Juniors 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newells Old Boys 2 than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boca Juniors 2 than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Boca Juniors 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Newells Old Boys 2 - Boca Juniors 2 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
37', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
47', 2 - 0, ⚽,
50', 3 - 0, ⚽,
80', 3 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Reserve League (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
Boca Juniors 2 is Qualified for Reserve League (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newells Old Boys 2 won 0.
Newells Old Boys 2 is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Boca Juniors 2 is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Newells Old Boys 2 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Boca Juniors 2 will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Newells Old Boys 2 won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:11. (average 0.6:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Newells Old Boys 2 won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 0.8:1).