Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 25

Date: 2 March 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Unión Sur Yaiza		Melilla

	1	X	2
	2.5	3	2.55
	2.72	3	2.73
				Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↑ (2.32)	3 ↓ (3.28)	2.64 ↓ (2.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unión Sur Yaiza
35%

Draw
30.4%

Melilla
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

27.7%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9%

27.2%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unión Sur Yaiza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Melilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Sur Yaiza than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melilla than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Unión Sur Yaiza - Melilla Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
89', 1 - 0, Margallo P. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Unión Sur Yaiza is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Melilla is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Unión Sur Yaiza won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Unión Sur Yaiza
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
23.02.25	Atlético Paso - Unión Sur Yaiza	1:1 ✺
16.02.25	Unión Sur Yaiza - Colonia Moscardó	0:0 ✺
09.02.25	Móstoles URJC - Unión Sur Yaiza	3:2 ✺
02.02.25	Unión Sur Yaiza - Getafe B	0:1 ✺
26.01.25	Navalcarnero - Unión Sur Yaiza	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 TTLLL
- UD Melilla
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
23.02.25	Melilla - Real Madrid C	1:2 ✺
16.02.25	Unión Adarve - Melilla	1:0 ✺
09.02.25	Melilla - San Sebastian Reyes	1:1 ✺
02.02.25	Cacereño - Melilla	0:2 ✺
26.01.25	Melilla - Talavera de la Reina	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
20.10.24	Melilla - Unión Sur Yaiza	1:2

Unión Sur Yaiza - Melilla: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide