Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 21

Date: 2 February 2025, Sunday


	Cacereño		Melilla

	1	X	2
	1.85	3	4.1
	1.85	2.87	4.2
	1.88	3	4.2
	1.93	2.91	4.74
	1.86	3.02	4.56	Watch
	1.94	3.14	4.28
	1.88	3	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.63)	2.99 ↓ (3.48)	4.33 ↓ (5.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cacereño
48.4%

Draw
30.5%

Melilla
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56%

26.2%

17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.2%

24.8%

16.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cacereño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cacereño's form might have worsened.

Melilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cacereño than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cacereño, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melilla than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Cacereño - Melilla Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Fernandez I. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', 0 - 2, Bassele M. ⚽,
71', Barrio J. 🟥,

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cacereño won 1.

Cacereño in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Melilla is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Cacereño is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Cacereño won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:3 (average 0.9:0.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Cacereño won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:0 (average 1.3:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CP Cacereño
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
26.01.25	Atlético Paso - Cacereño	0:1 ✺
19.01.25	Cacereño - Colonia Moscardó	1:0 ✺
12.01.25	Móstoles URJC - Cacereño	1:2 ✺
22.12.24	Getafe B - Cacereño	0:0 ✺
15.12.24	Cacereño - Navalcarnero	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWWTW
- UD Melilla
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
26.01.25	Melilla - Talavera de la Reina	2:2 ✺
19.01.25	CD Guadalajara - Melilla	2:0 ✺
12.01.25	Melilla - Tenerife B	3:1 ✺
22.12.24	Atlético Paso - Melilla	2:3 ✺
15.12.24	Melilla - Colonia Moscardó	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
22.09.24	Melilla - Cacereño	0:0
05.02.23	Cacereño - Melilla	0:0
18.09.22	Melilla - Cacereño	2:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
03.05.15	Cacereño - Melilla	3:0
14.12.14	Melilla - Cacereño	1:1
23.02.14	Cacereño - Melilla	1:0
13.10.13	Melilla - Cacereño	0:1

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