Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 20

Date: 26 January 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal Álvarez Claro (Melilla)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	CMM TV, Footballclub


	Melilla		Talavera de la Reina

	1	X	2
	2.63	2.7	2.7
	2.65	2.65	2.7
	2.9	2.68	2.94
	2.78	2.68	2.82
	2.75	2.76	2.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↑ (2.57)	2.69 ↓ (3)	2.78 ↑ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Melilla
33.3%

Draw
33.9%

Talavera de la Reina
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.3%

30.2%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.3%

31.1%

35.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Melilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Talavera de la Reina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melilla than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Talavera de la Reina than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Melilla - Talavera de la Reina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Bassele M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
56', 2 - 0, Ceballos D. ⚽,
84', 2 - 1, Solano R. ⚽,
90', 2 - 2, Sanchez A. ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Melilla won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:5 (average 0.8:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Melilla won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:3 (average 0.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Melilla
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
19.01.25	CD Guadalajara - Melilla	2:0 ✺
12.01.25	Melilla - Tenerife B	3:1 ✺
22.12.24	Atlético Paso - Melilla	2:3 ✺
15.12.24	Melilla - Colonia Moscardó	3:1 ✺
08.12.24	Móstoles URJC - Melilla	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 LWWWW
- CF Talavera de la Reina
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
19.01.25	Talavera de la Reina - Atlético Paso	4:0 ✺
12.01.25	Colonia Moscardó - Talavera de la Reina	0:1 ✺
22.12.24	Móstoles URJC - Talavera de la Reina	2:3 ✺
14.12.24	Talavera de la Reina - Getafe B	0:1 ✺
08.12.24	Navalcarnero - Talavera de la Reina	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
15.09.24	Talavera de la Reina - Melilla	1:0
24.01.21	Melilla - Talavera de la Reina	0:3
25.10.20	Talavera de la Reina - Melilla	1:2
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
03.02.19	Melilla - Talavera de la Reina	1:0
16.09.18	Talavera de la Reina - Melilla	0:1

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