The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Unión Viera 18.6%
Draw 25.6%
Ibarra 55.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
18.8%
25.9%
55.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
18.1%
25%
57.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Unión Viera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
Ibarra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Viera than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ibarra than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', 1 - 0, Sullivan M. ⚽,
65', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 12 (Play Offs: )).
Unión Viera has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Ibarra is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Unión Viera could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Ibarra is a favorite.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Unión Viera won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:3 (average 1:0.6).
Including matches at home between the teams Unión Viera won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:2 (average 1:1).