Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 12 - Round 21

Date: 8 February 2025, Saturday


	Arcángel San Miguel		Ibarra

	1	X	2
	2.37	2.9	2.75
	2.38	3	2.9
	2.46	2.99	2.91
	2.43	2.97	2.95	Watch
	2.33	3.08	2.91
	2.38	3	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↓ (2.83)	2.99 ↓ (3.03)	2.89 ↑ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arcángel San Miguel
38%

Draw
30.4%

Ibarra
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32%

29.9%

38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.3%

29.3%

38.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arcángel San Miguel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arcángel San Miguel's performance.

Ibarra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ibarra might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arcángel San Miguel than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arcángel San Miguel that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ibarra than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ibarra could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Arcángel San Miguel - Ibarra Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
6', 0 - 1, ⚽,
14', 1 - 1, ⚽,
38', 1 - 2, ⚽,
42', 1 - 3, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
85', 2 - 3, ⚽,
90+5', 2 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 10 and 7).

San Miguel is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ibarra is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

San Miguel could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently San Miguel have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches San Miguel won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Arcángel San Miguel
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
01.02.25	Los Llanos de Aridane - Arcángel San Miguel	2:1 ✺
18.01.25	Tamaraceite - Arcángel San Miguel	2:0 ✺
11.01.25	Las Palmas B - Arcángel San Miguel	4:0 ✺
21.12.24	Arcángel San Miguel - Herbania	4:1 ✺
14.12.24	San Bartolomé - Arcángel San Miguel	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLLWL
- UD Ibarra
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
01.02.25	Ibarra - Villa de Santa Brígida	2:1 ✺
25.01.25	Ibarra - Los Llanos de Aridane	2:0 ✺
18.01.25	Panadería Pulido - Ibarra	0:2 ✺
11.01.25	Tamaraceite - Ibarra	1:0 ✺
21.12.24	Ibarra - Las Palmas B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
27.09.24	Ibarra - Arcángel San Miguel	1:1

Arcángel San Miguel - Ibarra: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide