Match Info

3. Liga - Round 37

Date: 11 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Uhlsport Park (Unterhaching)

Referee: Michel F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 10
Germany	DFB Play, Magenta Sport
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Serbia	SportKlub 10
Slovenia	SportKlub 3
Usa	ESPN 3, ESPN App
World	Onefootball


	Unterhaching		Arminia Bielefeld

	1	X	2
	8	4.75	1.38
	6.25	4.6	1.44
	6.8	4.9	1.39
	7.44	5.15	1.37
	6.92	4.78	1.41
	6	4.2	1.44
	7.42	4.7	1.38	Watch
	6.8	4.9	1.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.95 ↓ (7.2)	4.75 ↑ (4.36)	1.4 ↓ (1.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unterhaching
13.5%

Draw
19.7%

Arminia Bielefeld
66.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.9%

21.3%

65.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.5%

20.6%

67.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unterhaching has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Arminia Bielefeld has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unterhaching than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arminia Bielefeld than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	0%	62.5%

Unterhaching - Arminia Bielefeld Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Unterhaching will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Arminia will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1 - Unterhaching (2.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Unterhaching (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Heide K. (G) 34. Knipping T. 5. Geis J. 8. Stiefler M. 23. Schwabl M. 10. Maier S. 7. Littig R. 33. Hennig M. 30. Skarlatidis S. 38. Mashigo B. 14. Ihorst L.	1. Kersken J. (G) 24. Lannert C. 23. Schneider L. 19. Grosser M. 4. Oppie L. 37. Sarenren Bazee N. J. 8. Schreck S. 21. Russo S. 6. Corboz M. 38. Worl M. 11. Grodowski J.
Substitutes
26. Breuer A. 24. Eisele K. (G) 18. Hannemann T. 25. Jastremski L. 9. Kugel J. 3. Lamby M. 49. Ortel N. 29. Popp L. 4. Schlicke B.	17. Biankadi M. 3. Felix J. 2. Hagmann F. 7. Kania J. 13. Kunze L. 36. Lukas J. 18. Oppermann L. (G) 22. Schroers M. 30. Young I.
Coaches
Matvienko V.	Kniat M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', Knipping T. 🟨,
42', 0 - 1, Schreck S. (Pen),
45+4', Lannert C. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Sarenren Bazee N. J. ↓, Young I. ↑,
46', Grodowski J. ↓, Kania J. ↑,
46', Mashigo B. ↓, Jastremski L. ↑,
46', Skarlatidis S. ↓, Schlicke B. ↑,
49', 1 - 1, Stiefler M. ⚽, Schwabl M. (A),
51', 1 - 2, Worl M. ⚽, Corboz M. (A),
53', Maier S. ↓, Popp L. ↑,
64', Worl M. 🟨,
67', Stiefler M. 🟨,
70', Corboz M. ↓, Kunze L. ↑,
70', Russo S. ↓, Felix J. ↑,
75', Ihorst L. ↓, Hannemann T. ↑,
75', Worl M. ↓, Biankadi M. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga).

Unterhaching is Relegated to

Arminia is Qualified for 2. Bundesliga

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Unterhaching won 1.

Unterhaching is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Arminia is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Arminia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Arminia is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Unterhaching: Adu G. (Injury) Obermeier T. (Injury) Waidner D. (Injury) Zentrich V. (Injury)

There will not play in Arminia: Boujellab N. (Knee Injury) Uldrikis R. (Knee Injury)

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Unterhaching won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:18. (average 1.3:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Unterhaching won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1.3:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SpVgg Unterhaching
German 3 Bundesliga
07.05.25	Unterhaching - Hansa Rostock	0:2 ✺
04.05.25	Hannover II - Unterhaching	0:0 ✺
26.04.25	Unterhaching - Energie Cottbus	1:1 ✺
19.04.25	Wehen Wiesbaden - Unterhaching	3:0 ✺
12.04.25	Unterhaching - VfB Stuttgart II	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LTTLT
- Arminia Bielefeld
German 3 Bundesliga
03.05.25	Arminia Bielefeld - Dynamo Dresden	1:1 ✺
27.04.25	Ingolstadt - Arminia Bielefeld	0:3 ✺
19.04.25	Arminia Bielefeld - Hansa Rostock	4:0 ✺
13.04.25	Viktoria Köln - Arminia Bielefeld	0:2 ✺
08.04.25	Arminia Bielefeld - Wehen Wiesbaden	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
14.12.24	Arminia Bielefeld - Unterhaching	3:3
17.02.24	Arminia Bielefeld - Unterhaching	1:2
22.09.23	Unterhaching - Arminia Bielefeld	1:2
28.02.15	Arminia Bielefeld - Unterhaching	4:0
16.09.14	Unterhaching - Arminia Bielefeld	1:3
23.02.13	Arminia Bielefeld - Unterhaching	3:0
01.09.12	Unterhaching - Arminia Bielefeld	3:2

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