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Current Win Probability
Ingolstadt 29.3%
Draw 25.3%
Arminia Bielefeld 45.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30%
25.2%
44.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.5%
25.6%
44%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ingolstadt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
Arminia Bielefeld has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ingolstadt than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arminia Bielefeld than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
16.7%
83.3%
Ingolstadt - Arminia Bielefeld Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Arminia Bielefeld will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%). Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% โ 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
26. Boevink P. (G) 22. Costly M. 19. Cvjetinovic M. 32. Lorenz S. 43. Keidel F. 24. Christensen G. 34. Frode L. (C) 17. Besuschkow M. 8. Kanuric B. 37. Testroet P. 9. Heike T.
1. Kersken J. (G) 24. Lannert C. 23. Schneider L. 19. Grosser M. 4. Oppie L. 21. Russo S. 8. Schreck S. 6. Corboz M. (C) 37. Sarenren Bazee N. J. 11. Grodowski J. 38. Worl M.
Substitutes
7. Borkowski D. 20. Deichmann Y. 18. Duhring M. N. 1. Funk M. (G) 5. Gul E. 6. Guwara L. 29. Kopacz D. 23. Seiffert M. 33. Sekulovic D.
17. Biankadi M. 3. Felix J. 2. Hagmann F. 7. Kania J. 13. Kunze L. 36. Lukas J. 18. Oppermann L. (G) 22. Schroers M. 30. Young I.
Coaches
Wittmann S.
Kniat M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
3', 0 - 1, Corboz M. ⚽, Grodowski J. (A),
44', 0 - 2, Sarenren Bazee N. J. ⚽, Oppie L. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', Kanuric B. ↓, Kopacz D. ↑,
64', Sarenren Bazee N. J. ↓, Young I. ↑,
65', Grodowski J. ↓, Kania J. ↑,
65', 0 - 3, Young I. ⚽, Kania J. (A),
76', Besuschkow M. ↓, Deichmann Y. ↑,
76', Worl M. ↓, Biankadi M. ↑,
76', Oppie L. ↓, Hagmann F. ↑,
76', Testroet P. ↓, Borkowski D. ↑,
77', Heike T. ↓, Sekulovic D. ↑,
83', Russo S. ↓, Felix J. ↑,
89', Christensen G. ↓, Gul E. ↑,
Preview
Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Ingolstadt won 1.
Recent matches Ingolstadt is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Arminia is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
Arminia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Arminia will have a small advantage in this match.
There will not play in Ingolstadt: Decker E.
(Yellow Cards)
Gronning S.
(Ankle Injury)
Guwara L.
(Shoulder Injury)
Hoppe M.
(Knee Injury)
Plath M.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Arminia: Boujellab N.
(Knee Injury)
Uldrikis R.
(Knee Injury)
Last 9 head-to-head matches Ingolstadt won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15:13 (average 1.7:1.4).
Including matches at home between the teams Ingolstadt won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:6 (average 1.8:1.5).
Croatia
Germany
North-macedonia
Serbia
Usa
World
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Boevink P. (G) 
Costly M. 
Cvjetinovic M. 
Christensen G. 
Kanuric B. 
Corboz M. (C) 
Gul E. 
Guwara L. 
Kopacz D. 
Biankadi M. 
