Match Info

GERMANY: 3. Liga - Round 20

Date: 18 January 2025, Saturday

Location: Uhlsport Park (Unterhaching)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Moja TV, Sportklub 8
Croatia	SportKlub 8
Germany	Magenta Sport
Montenegro	Sportklub 8
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO, Sportklub 8
Serbia	SportKlub 8
World	Onefootball


	Unterhaching		Borussia Dortmund II

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.5	2.3
	2.8	3.6	2.25
	2.8	3.6	2.3	Watch
	2.84	3.61	2.3	Watch
	2.75	3.4	2.25
	2.8	3.6	2.24	Watch
	2.8	3.6	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↑ (2.7)	3.56 ↑ (3.5)	2.28 ↑ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unterhaching
33.2%

Draw
26.1%

Borussia Dortmund II
40.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

26%

40.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9%

25.4%

41.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unterhaching has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Borussia Dortmund II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unterhaching than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borussia Dortmund II than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Unterhaching - Borussia Dortmund II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Heide K. (G) 23. Schwabl M. 8. Stiefler M. 15. Obermeier T. 33. Hennig M. 5. Geis J. 11. Winklbauer T. 39. Waidner D. 30. Skarlatidis S. 20. Leuthard A. 9. Kugel J.	35. Lotka M. (G) 43. Krevsun D. 34. Luhrs Y. 15. Huning B. 2. Mogultay B. 8. Roggow F. 38. Watjen K. 6. Azhil A. 14. Eberwein M. 23. Paulina J. 10. Elongo-Yombo R.
Substitutes
24. Eisele K. (G) 27. Hoops T. 14. Ihorst L. 25. Jastremski L. 34. Knipping T. 3. Lamby M. 7. Littig R. 10. Maier S. 49. Ortel N.	28. Cherny N. 45. Diallo O. 26. Drakas B. 5. Foti A. 29. Jessen N. 31. Ostrzinski S. (G) 16. Posadas L.
Coaches
Herrlich H.	Zimmermann J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
11', Geis J. 🟨,
29', 0 - 1, Watjen K. ⚽, Paulina J. (A),
33', Roggow F. 🟨,
35', 1 - 1, Leuthard A. ⚽, Winklbauer T. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', Geis J. ↓, Littig R. ↑,
69', Kugel J. ↓, Ihorst L. ↑,
69', Winklbauer T. ↓, Jastremski L. ↑,
71', Elongo-Yombo R. 🟨,
79', Elongo-Yombo R. ↓, Drakas B. ↑,
82', Watjen K. ↓, Foti A. ↑,
83', Littig R. 🟨,
84', Skarlatidis S. ↓, Lamby M. ↑,
84', Leuthard A. ↓, Maier S. ↑,
86', 1 - 2, Foti A. ⚽,
90+1', Paulina J. ↓, Jessen N. ↑,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Unterhaching won 1.

Unterhaching is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Borussia Dortmund II is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Borussia Dortmund II could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Unterhaching: Obermeier T. (Injury) Stiefler M. (Red Card)

There will not play in Borussia Dortmund II: Irorere F. (Foot Injury)

There are questionable in Unterhaching: Knipping T. (Foot Injury) Mashigo B. (Injury)

There are questionable in Borussia Dortmund II: Besong P. (Knee Injury) Hettwer J. (Back Injury)

Last 9 head-to-head matches Unterhaching won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 16:20 (average 1.8:2.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Unterhaching won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11:8 (average 2.8:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SpVgg Unterhaching
Club Friendly
11.01.25	Unterhaching - Jahn Regensburg	1:4 ✺
05.01.25	Greuther Fürth - Unterhaching	0:0 ✺
German 3 Bundesliga
21.12.24	Unterhaching - Dynamo Dresden	0:3 ✺
14.12.24	Arminia Bielefeld - Unterhaching	3:3 ✺
07.12.24	Unterhaching - Hannover II	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LTLTL
- Borussia Dortmund II
German 3 Bundesliga
21.12.24	Borussia Dortmund II - Saarbrücken	0:0 ✺
14.12.24	VfB Stuttgart II - Borussia Dortmund II	0:3 ✺
07.12.24	Borussia Dortmund II - Wehen Wiesbaden	2:2 ✺
30.11.24	Hannover II - Borussia Dortmund II	2:0 ✺
24.11.24	Borussia Dortmund II - Erzgebirge Aue	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 TWTLW

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
03.08.24	Borussia Dortmund II - Unterhaching	3:0
24.02.24	Unterhaching - Borussia Dortmund II	3:4
01.10.23	Borussia Dortmund II - Unterhaching	2:2
12.04.15	Borussia Dortmund II - Unterhaching	1:0
04.10.14	Unterhaching - Borussia Dortmund II	2:0
25.01.14	Unterhaching - Borussia Dortmund II	2:1
09.08.13	Borussia Dortmund II - Unterhaching	4:2

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