Match Info

GERMANY: 3. Liga - Round 15

Date: 24 November 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadion Rote Erde (Dortmund)

Referee: Grund F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport
World	Onefootball


	Borussia Dortmund II		Erzgebirge Aue

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.5	2.75
	2.4	3.5	2.7
	2.35	3.6	2.75	Watch
	2.49	3.5	2.88
	2.4	3.43	2.8	Watch
	2.25	3.5	2.62
	2.31	3.58	2.65	Watch
	2.35	3.6	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↓ (2.5)	3.53 ↓ (3.55)	2.74 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Borussia Dortmund II
39.4%

Draw
26.5%

Erzgebirge Aue
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.4%

25.6%

37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5%

26.2%

38.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Borussia Dortmund II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Erzgebirge Aue has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borussia Dortmund II than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erzgebirge Aue than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	40%	20%

Borussia Dortmund II - Erzgebirge Aue Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Borussia Dortmund II will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Aue will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Lotka M. (G) 29. Jessen N. 34. Luhrs Y. 15. Huning B. 42. Kabar A. 8. Roggow F. (C) 14. Eberwein M. 5. Foti A. 37. Campbell C. 23. Paulina J. 20. Hettwer J.	1. Mannel M. (C) 23. Barylla A. 24. Nkansah S. 13. Majetschak E. 29. Rosenlocher L. 10. Pepic M. 30. Loune A. 34. Stefaniak M. 14. Tashchy B. 26. Jakob K. 15. Bar M.
Substitutes
39. Aning P. 26. Drakas B. 10. Elongo-Yombo R. 17. Gobel P. 43. Krevsun D. 27. Lelle D. 2. Mogultay B. 31. Ostrzinski S. (G) 21. Paschke F.	9. Bornschein R. 21. Burghardt M. 20. Fabisch J. 19. Hoffmann T. 18. Kallenbach W. 25. Kips T. (G) 7. Seitz S. 11. Sijaric O. 4. Vukancic N.
Coaches
Zimmermann J.	Dotchev P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Jakob K. ⚽, Barylla A. (A),
11', 1 - 1, Campbell C. ⚽, Eberwein M. (A),
27', 2 - 1, Hettwer J. ⚽, Foti A. (A),
34', Eberwein M. (Pen),
45', Gobel P. 🟨,
45', Pepic M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Kabar A. ↓, Mogultay B. ↑,
47', Loune A. 🟨,
53', Eberwein M. 🟨,
60', Campbell C. ↓, Elongo-Yombo R. ↑,
60', Foti A. ↓, Paschke F. ↑,
65', Jakob K. ↓, Hoffmann T. ↑,
65', Loune A. ↓, Sijaric O. ↑,
69', Paulina J. ↓, Drakas B. ↑,
73', 3 - 1, Hettwer J. ⚽, Eberwein M. (A),
75', Tashchy B. ↓, Bornschein R. ↑,
75', Stefaniak M. ↓, Seitz S. ↑,
79', Hettwer J. ↓, Krevsun D. ↑,
88', Barylla A. ↓, Burghardt M. ↑,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 13 and 7).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Borussia Dortmund II could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

There will not play in Borussia Dortmund II: Aning P. (Injury) Besong P. (Knee Injury) Irorere F. (Foot Injury) Watjen K. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Aue: Barylla A. (Pelvis Injury) Fallmann P. (Yellow Cards) Ozkan C. (Injury) Vukancic N. (Injury)

There are questionable in Borussia Dortmund II: Bueno G. (Hip Injury)

Last 4 head-to-head matches Borussia Dortmund II won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:8 (average 1.3:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Borussia Dortmund II won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3 (average 1:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Erzgebirge Aue - the odds 2.4 are the expected chance of winning is 37.94%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Borussia Dortmund II
German 3 Bundesliga
09.11.24	Energie Cottbus - Borussia Dortmund II	3:3 ✺
03.11.24	Borussia Dortmund II - Verl	3:1 ✺
25.10.24	Ingolstadt - Borussia Dortmund II	5:3 ✺
22.10.24	Borussia Dortmund II - Waldhof Mannheim	0:1 ✺
19.10.24	Viktoria Köln - Borussia Dortmund II	3:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 TWLLW
- Erzgebirge Aue
German 3 Bundesliga
10.11.24	Erzgebirge Aue - Rot-Weiß Essen	2:1 ✺
02.11.24	Erzgebirge Aue - Saarbrücken	1:1 ✺
27.10.24	VfB Stuttgart II - Erzgebirge Aue	0:1 ✺
22.10.24	Erzgebirge Aue - Energie Cottbus	1:3 ✺
18.10.24	Waldhof Mannheim - Erzgebirge Aue	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
27.04.24	Borussia Dortmund II - Erzgebirge Aue	2:2
25.11.23	Erzgebirge Aue - Borussia Dortmund II	2:0
15.05.23	Erzgebirge Aue - Borussia Dortmund II	3:3
11.11.22	Borussia Dortmund II - Erzgebirge Aue	0:1

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