Match Info

GERMANY: 3. Liga - Round 19

Date: 21 December 2024, Saturday

Location: Uhlsport Park (Unterhaching)

Referee: Wienefeld J. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Moja TV, Sportklub 4
Croatia	SportKlub 4
Germany	Magenta Sport, MDR Fernsehen
Montenegro	Sportklub 4
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO, Sportklub 4
Slovenia	SportKlub 3
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
World	Onefootball


	Unterhaching		Dynamo Dresden

	1	X	2
	5	4.2	1.53
	5.25	4.2	1.57
	5.5	4.33	1.53	Watch
	5.3	4.66	1.56
	5.18	4.41	1.55	Watch
	5	3.9	1.55
	5.26	4.2	1.53	Watch
	5.5	4.33	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.25 ↑ (4.58)	4.28 ↑ (4.21)	1.54 ↓ (1.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unterhaching
17.8%

Draw
21.8%

Dynamo Dresden
60.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.4%

22.1%

57.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20%

21.7%

58.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unterhaching has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Dynamo Dresden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unterhaching than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dynamo Dresden than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.7%	0%	92.3%

Unterhaching - Dynamo Dresden Predictions

Users Predictions: Dynamo Dresden will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Heide K. (G) 23. Schwabl M. 27. Hoops T. 4. Schlicke B. 33. Hennig M. 5. Geis J. 39. Waidner D. 26. Breuer A. 25. Jastremski L. 10. Maier S. 9. Kugel J.	1. Schreiber T. (G) 32. Sterner J. 39. Kubatta D. 29. Boeder L. 28. Risch S. 5. Sapina V. 17. Casar A. 27. Hauptmann N. (C) 10. Lemmer J. 33. Daferner C. 25. Oehmichen J.
Substitutes
24. Eisele K. (G) 20. Leuthard A. 7. Littig R. 28. Martens M. 49. Ortel N. 31. Schmid F. 30. Skarlatidis S. 11. Winklbauer T.	7. Batista Meier O. 6. Berger T. 23. Bunning L. 15. Kammerknecht C. 30. Kutschke S. 26. Marx J. H. 21. Meissner R. 24. Menzel T. 37. Mesenholer D. (G)
Coaches
Bender S.	Stamm T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
3', Oehmichen J. 🟨,
8', 0 - 1, Casar A. ⚽, Sterner J. (A),
35', Casar A. ↓, Menzel T. ↑,
36', Kubatta D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Breuer A. ↓, Skarlatidis S. ↑,
55', Schwabl M. 🟨,
68', 0 - 2, Kubatta D. ⚽,
69', Daferner C. ↓, Kutschke S. ↑,
69', Oehmichen J. ↓, Meissner R. ↑,
73', 0 - 3, Kutschke S. (Pen),
85', Hauptmann N. ↓, Bunning L. ↑,
85', Lemmer J. ↓, Berger T. ↑,
87', Maier S. ↓, Martens M. ↑,
87', Jastremski L. ↓, Winklbauer T. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Unterhaching won 1.

Unterhaching is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Dynamo Dresden is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Dynamo Dresden could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Dynamo Dresden is a favorite.

There will not play in Unterhaching: Obermeier T. (Injury)

There will not play in Dynamo Dresden: Lehmann P. (Back Injury)

There are questionable in Unterhaching: Mashigo B. (Injury)

Last 8 head-to-head matches Unterhaching won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 11:16 (average 1.4:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Unterhaching won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:4 (average 1.8:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SpVgg Unterhaching
German 3 Bundesliga
14.12.24	Arminia Bielefeld - Unterhaching	3:3 ✺
07.12.24	Unterhaching - Hannover II	1:2 ✺
30.11.24	Energie Cottbus - Unterhaching	2:0 ✺
23.11.24	Unterhaching - Wehen Wiesbaden	1:1 ✺
10.11.24	VfB Stuttgart II - Unterhaching	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TLLTL
- Dynamo Dresden
German 3 Bundesliga
13.12.24	Dynamo Dresden - Waldhof Mannheim	2:1 ✺
08.12.24	Dynamo Dresden - Arminia Bielefeld	3:0 ✺
30.11.24	Sandhausen - Dynamo Dresden	2:4 ✺
23.11.24	Dynamo Dresden - Saarbrücken	1:1 ✺
09.11.24	Osnabrück - Dynamo Dresden	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
11.05.24	Unterhaching - Dynamo Dresden	1:2
10.12.23	Dynamo Dresden - Unterhaching	2:1
11.04.21	Unterhaching - Dynamo Dresden	2:0
25.11.20	Dynamo Dresden - Unterhaching	2:0
Club Friendly
10.07.19	Unterhaching - Dynamo Dresden	1:2
15.07.17	Dynamo Dresden - Unterhaching	3:2
German 3 Bundesliga
09.05.15	Dynamo Dresden - Unterhaching	5:1

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