Match Info

GERMANY: Oberliga Bayern Süd - Round 15

Date: 16 October 2024, Wednesday


	Unterhaching II		TSV Kottern

	1	X	2
	3.15	3.4	2.04
	3.13	3.45	2.04
				Watch
	3.19	3.42	2.03
	3.15	3.4	2.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.16 ↑ (3.05)	3.42 ↓ (3.54)	2.04 ↓ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unterhaching II
28.8%

Draw
26.6%

TSV Kottern
44.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.8%

25.7%

44.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.8%

24.9%

46%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unterhaching II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

TSV Kottern has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

The ML Model estimate for Unterhaching II aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for TSV Kottern than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Markulin N. ⚽,
32', 1 - 1, Jocham M. ⚽,
40', 2 - 1, Koster O. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
48', 2 - 2, Jocham M. ⚽,
65', 3 - 2, Lautenbacher F. ⚽,
79', 4 - 2, Koster O. ⚽,
90+2', Miller M. 🟥,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 14 in the zone Oberliga Bayern ~ Relegation and 4).

Unterhaching II has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Kottern is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Unterhaching II could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Kottern will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SpVgg Unterhaching II
German Oberliga Bayern Süd
11.10.24	Unterhaching II - Memmingen	1:1 ✺
03.10.24	Unterhaching II - Erlbach	0:1 ✺
28.09.24	1860 München II - Unterhaching II	2:0 ✺
20.09.24	Unterhaching II - Ismaning	0:1 ✺
13.09.24	Heimstetten - Unterhaching II	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TLLLL
- TSV Kottern
German Oberliga Bayern Süd
13.10.24	Türkspor Augsburg - TSV Kottern	0:1 ✺
03.10.24	Sonthofen - TSV Kottern	2:2 ✺
21.09.24	Nördlingen - TSV Kottern	0:1 ✺
14.09.24	TSV Kottern - Deisenhofen	1:3 ✺
30.08.24	TSV Kottern - Memmingen	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WTWLW

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