FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4 - Relegation Group - Round 7
Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday ๐ Finished
Orenburg-2
Ural 2
1
X
2
1.39
5.35
5.66
Avarage Now (Initially)
1.39 ↓ (2.02)
5.35 ↑ (3.5)
5.66 ↑ (3.24)
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Orenburg-2 66.4%
Draw 17.3%
Ural 2 16.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
45.4%
26.2%
28.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.4%
25.6%
30%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Orenburg-2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Orenburg-2's performance.
Ural 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ural 2 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orenburg-2 than the current prediction. (-22%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Orenburg-2 that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ural 2 than the current prediction. (+13.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ural 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
38', 0 - 1, Nem V. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90', 1 - 1, Davydov V. ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orenburg-2 won 2.
Orenburg-2 has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Ural 2 is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Orenburg-2 is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 16 head-to-head meetings, Orenburg-2 has recorded 4 wins, 7 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 19:28 (averaging 1.2:1.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Orenburg-2 against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with 8:16 goals (averaging 1.1:2.3 per game).