Match Info

Date: 9 October 2022, Sunday


	Ural 2		Tyumen

	1	X	2
	6.4	4.7	1.33
	6.6	4.95	1.34	Watch
	6.6	4.9	1.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.53 ↓ (7.25)	4.85 ↓ (4.95)	1.34 ↑ (1.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ural 2
13.8%

Draw
18.7%

Tyumen
67.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.6%

18.5%

68.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.9%

17.4%

73.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ural 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Tyumen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ural 2 than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tyumen than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tyumen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ural 2 - Tyumen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 12 in the zone FNL 2 ~ Group 4 (Relegation Group) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ FNL 2 ~ Group 4 (Promotion Group)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ural 2 won 0.

Ural 2 is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Tyumen is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Tyumen could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Tyumen have a series of home games.

In this match Tyumen is certain favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Ural 2 won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Ural 2 won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Ural 2
Russian FNL 2 Group 4
01.10.22	Tyumen - Ural 2	2:2 ✺
24.09.22	Ural 2 - Irtysh Omsk	0:1 ✺
21.09.22	Ural 2 - Dynamo Barnaul	3:2 ✺
10.09.22	Novosibirsk - Ural 2	2:1
03.09.22	Zenit Izhevsk - Ural 2	2:1
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 TLWLL
- FC Tyumen
Russian Cup
05.10.22	Tyumen - Volgar Astrakhan	0:3 ✺
Russian FNL 2 Group 4
01.10.22	Tyumen - Ural 2	2:2 ✺
25.09.22	Tyumen - Torpedo Miass	1:2 ✺
18.09.22	Tyumen - Nosta Novotroitsk	2:1 ✺
Russian Cup
14.09.22	Chelyabinsk - Tyumen	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Group 4
01.10.22	Tyumen - Ural 2	2:2
11.04.22	Ural 2 - Tyumen	2:2
12.09.21	Tyumen - Ural 2	2:1
26.04.21	Tyumen - Ural 2	2:1
27.09.20	Ural 2 - Tyumen	1:3
Russian PFL Ural-Povolzhye
26.10.19	Tyumen - Ural 2	1:2
23.08.19	Ural 2 - Tyumen	3:3

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