Match Info

RUSSIA: Russian Cup - Regions Path - Quarter-finals

Date: 24 September 2024, Tuesday

Location: Central Stadium (Chelyabinsk)


	Chelyabinsk		Tyumen

	1	X	2
	2.02	2.94	3.5
	2	3.22	3.67	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.11)	3.08 ↓ (3.2)	3.59 ↑ (3.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chelyabinsk
45.2%

Draw
29.5%

Tyumen
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44%

29%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

28.7%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chelyabinsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Tyumen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelyabinsk than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tyumen than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Chelyabinsk - Tyumen Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Chelyabinsk will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Rybikov N. (G) 36. Gruznov I. 66. Gudkov Y. 18. Kertanov K. 37. Kosyanchuk R. 90. Lyakh A. 63. Nikitenkov A. 11. Nosov A. 20. Pomerko A. (C) 44. Samsonov A. 7. Vazitdinov R.	33. Kritsyuk S. (G) 2. Kalugin N. 9. Kuptsov D. 70. Maryanov A. 13. Petrov M. 27. Petukhov I. 5. Poroykov S. 10. Savinov A. 8. Talalay D. 31. Tkachuk D. (C) 36. Voropaev A.
Substitutes
97. Goldobin N. 33. Gorbachik V. 2. Khozin V. 70. Levin G. 22. Pokotylo D. 15. Pushkarev D. 1. Zadiraka V. (G)	72. Bem A. 97. Goshev E. (G) 34. Khramtsov M. 17. Kosarev K. 90. Mokaev I. 41. Sukhoruchenko M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
30', Samsonov A. ↓, Pushkarev D. ↑,
41', Talalay D. 🟨,
45', 0 - 1, Tkachuk D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Kosyanchuk R. ↓, Levin G. ↑,
50', Kalugin N. 🟨,
57', Gruznov I. ↓, Gorbachik V. ↑,
71', Savinov A. ↓, Mokaev I. ↑,
71', Voropaev A. ↓, Khramtsov M. ↑,
72', Maryanov A. 🟨,
75', Nosov A. ↓, Pokotylo D. ↑,
76', Gudkov Y. 🟨,
81', Petukhov I. 🟨,
83', Tkachuk D. ↓, Bem A. ↑,
90+3', 0 - 2, Mokaev I. ⚽,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Chelyabinsk won 0.

Chelyabinsk in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Tyumen has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Chelyabinsk will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Chelyabinsk to win the game is with odds 2.1.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Chelyabinsk won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 5-24.

Including matches at home between the teams Chelyabinsk won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 3-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Chelyabinsk
Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
21.09.24	Chelyabinsk - Kaluga	3:0 ✺
15.09.24	Veles Moscow - Chelyabinsk	1:3 ✺
08.09.24	Sibir Novosibirsk - Chelyabinsk	2:2 ✺
Russian Cup
04.09.24	Chelyabinsk - Chertanovo	1:0 ✺
Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
31.08.24	Chelyabinsk - Avangard Kursk	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWTWW
- FC Tyumen
Russian FNL
21.09.24	Tyumen - Rodina Moscow	1:2 ✺
15.09.24	Tyumen - Sokol Saratov	0:1 ✺
09.09.24	Baltika Kaliningrad - Tyumen	2:1 ✺
01.09.24	Sochi - Tyumen	3:0 ✺
23.08.24	Tyumen - Arsenal Tula	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Group 4
28.05.23	Tyumen - Chelyabinsk	7:0
Russian Cup
14.09.22	Chelyabinsk - Tyumen	0:1
Russian FNL 2 Group 4
30.07.22	Chelyabinsk - Tyumen	0:3
04.11.21	Chelyabinsk - Tyumen	0:0
05.10.21	Tyumen - Chelyabinsk	3:0
30.04.21	Chelyabinsk - Tyumen	1:1
20.09.20	Tyumen - Chelyabinsk	1:0

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