The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tyumen 44.2%
Draw 26.5%
Volgar Astrakhan 29.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.6%
25.9%
29.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.4%
26.3%
29%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tyumen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
Volgar Astrakhan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tyumen than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Volgar Astrakhan than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Tyumen - Volgar Astrakhan Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
66. Yanovich N. (G) 11. Babaev V. 72. Bem A. 40. Bezchasnyuk A. 19. Bykovskiy A. 27. Chudin I. (C) 33. Lavrenkov A. 13. Petrov M. 8. Pyatkin I. 17. Shitov V. 97. Talikin D.
1. Yampolskiy V. (G) 9. Adaev V. 34. Dmitriev O. (C) 17. Lesnikov D. 11. Nasibov M. 7. Pavlishin A. 26. Pelikh D. 23. Petrovskiy Y. 28. Proshkin E. 47. Umarov I. 58. Zuev I.
Substitutes
99. Abakumov M. 45. Boyarskikh K. 6. Chemakin K. 1. Dovgal A. (G) 63. Dudarin K. 95. Edapin M. (G) 47. Frolov Y. 24. Grinwald V. 2. Konstantin L. 89. Lutsev A. 10. Mokaev I.
45. Ermakov V. (G) 8. Galanin I. 15. Golub I. 13. Ivanov D. 19. Kolesnichenko K. 50. Koverov D. 90. Pavlov D. 20. Poluboyarinov D. 5. Strelnik M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
13', 0 - 1, Umarov I. ⚽,
45', 0 - 2, Lesnikov D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Talikin D. ↓, Frolov Y. ↑,
57', Babaev V. ↓, Dudarin K. ↑,
60', Adaev V. ↓, Poluboyarinov D. ↑,
68', Bykovskiy A. ↓, Abakumov M. ↑,
72', Umarov I. ↓, Koverov D. ↑,
82', Abakumov M. ↓, Lutsev A. ↑,
86', Pavlishin A. ↓, Strelnik M. ↑,
86', Lesnikov D. ↓, Kolesnichenko K. ↑,
Preview
This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ FNL 2 ~ Division A Gold (Spring Season: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ FNL 2 ~ Division A Gold (Spring Season: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tyumen won 3.
Tyumen has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Volgar is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Tyumen may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Tyumen is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Tyumen won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 14:21. (average 1:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Tyumen won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 0.9:1.4).