Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4 - Round 24

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadium Uralets (Nizhny Tagil) 🌤️ ...


	Uralets-TS Nizhny Tagil		Dynamo Barnaul

	1	X	2
	2.02	3.3	3.32
	2.2	3.2	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↓ (2.32)	3.25 ↓ (3.4)	3.04 ↑ (2.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Uralets-TS Nizhny Tagil
42.7%

Draw
27.7%

Dynamo Barnaul
29.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.1%

27.4%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

26.8%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Uralets-TS Nizhny Tagil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Dynamo Barnaul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Uralets-TS Nizhny Tagil than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dynamo Barnaul than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Uralets TS Nizhny Tagil - Dynamo Barnaul Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Moskovets M. (G) 26. Anisimov A. 31. Burykin K. 98. Dmitryuk A. 17. Galimov A. 40. Gorin M. 25. Khokhlov D. 88. Kiselev V. 9. Podbeltsev A. 3. Smolnikov M. 72. Surmiy R.	16. Bychkov I. (G) 49. Bakay D. 15. Eruslanov M. 53. Ilik V. 5. Kamilov E. 10. Osipov M. 13. Petukhov A. 98. Radchenko M. A. 34. Tsvetkov D. 96. Yarkin A. 7. Zhitnikov I.
Substitutes
13. Antipov N. 8. Chuvilov V. 83. Geykin G. 33. Musin A. 24. Tarasov M. (G) 14. Zubarev E.	35. Kulish M. (G) 4. Leonov R. 33. Mikhailin S. 27. Sablin A. 3. Sergeev Z. 83. Simakov K. 17. Ulyanov S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Bakay D. ⚽,
29', Eruslanov M. 🟨,
36', Ilik V. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
48', 1 - 1, Podbeltsev A. ⚽,
52', Eruslanov M. ↓, Simakov K. ↑,
73', Simakov K. 🟨,
73', Osipov M. ↓, Ulyanov S. ↑,
73', Tsvetkov D. ↓, Sablin A. ↑,
74', Dmitryuk A. ↓, Antipov N. ↑,
85', Khokhlov D. ↓, Chuvilov V. ↑,
90', Galimov A. ↓, Geykin G. ↑,
90+1', Podbeltsev A. 🟨,
90+1', Yarkin A. ↓, Mikhailin S. ↑,
90+3', 2 - 1, Anisimov A. ⚽,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 6 and 4)

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Uralets-TS won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1.8:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Uralets-TS won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 1.5:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Uralets-TS Nizhny Tagil
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 4
28.09.25	Uralets-TS Nizhny Tagil - Amkar Perm	0:2 ✺
21.09.25	Ural 2 - Uralets-TS Nizhny Tagil	1:2 ✺
14.09.25	Akron Tolyatti 2 - Uralets-TS Nizhny Tagil	1:1 ✺
07.09.25	Uralets-TS Nizhny Tagil - Rubin 2 Kazan	1:0 ✺
31.08.25	Nosta Novotroitsk - Uralets-TS Nizhny Tagil	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWTWT
- Dynamo Barnaul
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 4
27.09.25	Rubin 2 Kazan - Dynamo Barnaul	4:0 ✺
21.09.25	Dynamo Barnaul - Nosta Novotroitsk	2:0 ✺
13.09.25	Khimik Dzerzhinsk - Dynamo Barnaul	4:1 ✺
07.09.25	Dynamo Barnaul - Krylya Sovetov 2	1:0 ✺
24.08.25	Dynamo Barnaul - Volna Kovernino	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 4
29.06.25	Dynamo Barnaul - Uralets-TS Nizhny Tagil	0:3
28.07.24	Dynamo Barnaul - Uralets-TS Nizhny Tagil	3:1
21.04.24	Uralets-TS Nizhny Tagil - Dynamo Barnaul	1:3
12.11.23	Uralets-TS Nizhny Tagil - Dynamo Barnaul	2:2

Uralets-TS Nizhny Tagil - Dynamo Barnaul