The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Nosta Novotroitsk 28.5%
Draw 23.3%
Uralets-TS Nizhny Tagil 48.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.4%
26.3%
41.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35%
24.3%
38.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nosta Novotroitsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
Uralets-TS Nizhny Tagil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Uralets-TS Nizhny Tagil's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nosta Novotroitsk than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nosta Novotroitsk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Uralets-TS Nizhny Tagil than the current prediction. (-9.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Uralets-TS Nizhny Tagil, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
16. Nelyubov N. (G) 2. Balakhonov A. 26. Batyrshin D. 13. Boyko D. 10. Chamzhaev D. 7. Dzyon V. 32. Karavalliev R. 19. Popov I. 20. Telenkov N. 8. Vainer A. 15. Vereshchak P.
1. Moskovets M. (G) 44. Abdrashitov T. 26. Anisimov A. 8. Chuvilov V. 40. Gorin M. 25. Khokhlov D. 5. Krotov S. 55. Lauk M. 9. Podbeltsev A. 3. Smolnikov M. 14. Zubarev E.
Substitutes
11. Dorofeev I. 6. Dzhebov A. 17. Galkin V. 30. Khasyanov A. 4. Kononykin A. 5. Pchelintsev I. 25. Rajin Y. 33. Sivolapov A. (G)
13. Antipov N. 31. Burykin K. 98. Dmitryuk A. 17. Galimov A. 83. Geykin G. 33. Musin A. 70. Sharafutdinov R. 72. Surmiy R. 24. Tarasov M. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
33', 0 - 1, Podbeltsev A. ⚽,
41', 1 - 1, Vainer A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Balakhonov A. ↓, Galkin V. ↑,
68', Boyko D. ↓, Pchelintsev I. ↑,
69', Chuvilov V. ↓, Burykin K. ↑,
83', Krotov S. 🟨,
84', Abdrashitov T. ↓, Galimov A. ↑,
84', Lauk M. ↓, Dmitryuk A. ↑,
86', Khokhlov D. ↓, Antipov N. ↑,
90', Popov I. ↓, Khasyanov A. ↑,
90', Dzyon V. ↓, Dzhebov A. ↑,
90', Chamzhaev D. ↓, Dorofeev I. ↑,
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 11 and 6).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nosta won 1.
Nosta has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Uralets-TS is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Recently, Nosta has had a series of away games.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Nosta won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.5:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Nosta won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.3:0.3).
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Nelyubov N. (G) 
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