Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4 - Round 23

Date: 28 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadium Uralets (Nizhny Tagil)


	Uralets-TS Nizhny Tagil		Amkar Perm

	1	X	2
	2.83	3.15	2.34
	2.94	3.13	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.89 ↑ (2.5)	3.14 ↓ (3.3)	2.31 ↓ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Uralets-TS Nizhny Tagil
31.6%

Draw
29%

Amkar Perm
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.5%

27.7%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

27.3%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Uralets-TS Nizhny Tagil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Amkar Perm has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Uralets-TS Nizhny Tagil than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Uralets-TS Nizhny Tagil, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amkar Perm than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Uralets TS Nizhny Tagil - Amkar Perm Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Amkar (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Moskovets M. (G) 26. Anisimov A. 8. Chuvilov V. 98. Dmitryuk A. 40. Gorin M. 25. Khokhlov D. 88. Kiselev V. 55. Lauk M. 9. Podbeltsev A. 3. Smolnikov M. 14. Zubarev E.	1. Kolesov N. (G) 4. Gallyamov E. 20. Kalayda D. 10. Korolkov K. 9. Kotik A. 8. Matsukatov A. 33. Myrzakov K. 44. Sukhoruchenko M. 30. Takazov S. 7. Tyukalov E. 77. Zuev D.
Substitutes
44. Abdrashitov T. 13. Antipov N. 31. Burykin K. 17. Galimov A. 83. Geykin G. 5. Krotov S. 33. Musin A. 70. Sharafutdinov R. 72. Surmiy R. 24. Tarasov M. (G)	95. Chernyshev A. 11. Dibirgadzhiev D. 97. Goldobin N. 17. Kozhin M. 45. Pridyuk A. 6. Tolkachev L. 57. Trifonov E. (G) 3. Zhilov I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
44', Korolkov K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
48', 0 - 1, Sukhoruchenko M. ⚽,
64', Korolkov K. ↓, Tolkachev L. ↑,
64', Matsukatov A. ↓, Goldobin N. ↑,
74', Smolnikov M. 🟨,
75', Dmitryuk A. ↓, Galimov A. ↑,
75', Khokhlov D. ↓, Burykin K. ↑,
75', Myrzakov K. 🟨,
79', Podbeltsev A. 🟨,
80', Tyukalov E. ↓, Dibirgadzhiev D. ↑,
82', 0 - 2, Tolkachev L. ⚽,
85', Chuvilov V. ↓, Antipov N. ↑,
90', Lauk M. 🟥,
90+3', Kotik A. ↓, Pridyuk A. ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 and 2).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Uralets-TS won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.3:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Uralets-TS won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Uralets-TS Nizhny Tagil
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 4
21.09.25	Ural 2 - Uralets-TS Nizhny Tagil	1:2 ✺
14.09.25	Akron Tolyatti 2 - Uralets-TS Nizhny Tagil	1:1 ✺
07.09.25	Uralets-TS Nizhny Tagil - Rubin 2 Kazan	1:0 ✺
31.08.25	Nosta Novotroitsk - Uralets-TS Nizhny Tagil	1:1 ✺
24.08.25	Uralets-TS Nizhny Tagil - Khimik Dzerzhinsk	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WTWTL
- Amkar Perm
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 4
21.09.25	Amkar Perm - Rubin 2 Kazan	3:0 ✺
14.09.25	Nosta Novotroitsk - Amkar Perm	1:2 ✺
07.09.25	Amkar Perm - Khimik Dzerzhinsk	1:2 ✺
31.08.25	Krylya Sovetov 2 - Amkar Perm	0:3 ✺
Russian Cup
20.08.25	Khimik Dzerzhinsk - Amkar Perm	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 4
22.06.25	Amkar Perm - Uralets-TS Nizhny Tagil	1:0
24.08.24	Amkar Perm - Uralets-TS Nizhny Tagil	2:0
Russian Cup
20.08.24	Uralets-TS Nizhny Tagil - Amkar Perm	1:2 penalties

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