Match Info

EUROPE: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 11 July 2023, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Urartu Stadium (Yerevan) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Farrugia P. (Mlt)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Bosnia And Herzegovina	17:00	Arena Sport
Croatia	17:00	Arena Sport
Serbia	17:00	Arena Sport
Slovenia	17:00	Arena Sport


	Urartu Yerevan		Zrinjski Mostar

	1	X	2
	3.1	3	2.45	Watch
	2.95	2.95	2.35
	2.9	3.1	2.4
	3.1	3.05	2.45
	3.2	2.99	2.51
	2.8	3	2.3
	3.08	3.06	2.46	Watch
	3.1	3.1	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.03 ↑ (2.08)	3.03 ↓ (3.33)	2.43 ↓ (3.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Urartu Yerevan
30.8%

Draw
30.8%

Zrinjski Mostar
38.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45.2%

28.3%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4%

28.2%

26.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Urartu Yerevan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Urartu Yerevan's form might have worsened.

Zrinjski Mostar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Zrinjski Mostar's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Urartu Yerevan than the current prediction. (+14.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Urartu Yerevan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zrinjski Mostar than the current prediction. (-12.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Zrinjski Mostar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12%	48%	40%

Urartu Yerevan - Zrinjski Mostar Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Urartu will win (votes: 3 - 12%). Zrinjski will win (votes: 10 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 48%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 28.4% – 67.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
42. Melikhov A. (G) 88. Margaryan Z. (C) 3. Piloyan E. 4. Tsymbalyuk Y. 5. Salou D. 2. Antwi N. 18. Sabua L. 8. Iwu U. 33. Marcos Junior 11. Grigoryan N. 55. Maksimenko A.	35. Maric M. (G) 6. Corluka J. 95. Senic M. 4. Barisic H. 2. Marin L. 23. Stanic M. 5. Canadija D. 20. Ivancic A. 91. Ticinovic M. 99. Bilbija N. (C) 17. Malekinusic M.
Substitutes
31. Abakumov D. (G) 9. Aghasaryan N. 17. Eduardo 16. Isaac B. 10. Melkonyan K. 22. Mirzoyan M. 28. Mogilevets P. 23. Ozbiliz A. 20. Pesukic P. 90. Polyakov O. 99. Sanogo Y. 13. Zotko I.	25. Cuze M. 22. Hrvanovic A. 10. Kis T. 93. Kozulj Z. 50. Memija K. 24. Misic P. 1. Prslja L. (G) 19. Ramic T. 9. Sabljic F. 12. Soldo A. (G) 8. Zlomislic D.
Coaches
Gunko D.	Rendulic K.

Preview

1st leg.

Urartu is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Zrinjski is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Zrinjski could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Zrinjski have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Urartu Yerevan
Armenian Premier League
06.06.23	Urartu Yerevan - Ararat	1:1 ✺
02.06.23	Pyunik - Urartu Yerevan	0:1 ✺
27.05.23	Alashkert - Urartu Yerevan	3:2 ✺
22.05.23	Urartu Yerevan - BKMA Yerevan	1:0 ✺
17.05.23	Lernayin Artsakh - Urartu Yerevan	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TWLWW
- Zrinjski Mostar
Club Friendly
28.06.23	Lokomotiva Zagreb - Zrinjski Mostar	0:3 ✺
24.06.23	Varaždin - Zrinjski Mostar	1:3 ✺
21.06.23	Mura - Zrinjski Mostar	1:0 ✺
Bosnian Premier League
28.05.23	Tuzla City - Zrinjski Mostar	3:0 ✺
21.05.23	Zrinjski Mostar - Leotar Trebinje	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWLLW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Urartu Yerevan
Armenian Premier League
30.10.26	Pyunik - Urartu Yerevan	✺
- Zrinjski Mostar
Bosnian Premier League
31.10.26	Željezničar Sarajevo - Zrinjski Mostar	✺

Urartu Yerevan - Zrinjski Mostar