Match Info

BOSNIA AND HERZEGOVINA: PREMIJER LIGA BIH - ROUND 2

Date: 27 September 2023, Wednesday

Location: Gradski stadion Tusanj (Tuzla)


	Tuzla City		Zrinjski Mostar

	1	X	2
	5.25	3.75	1.52
	5.5	4	1.55	Watch
	5.93	4.04	1.53
	4	3.6	1.7
	5.45	3.78	1.53	Watch
	5.6	3.9	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.29 ↑ (3.56)	3.85 ↑ (3.3)	1.56 ↓ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tuzla City
17.3%

Draw
23.9%

Zrinjski Mostar
58.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.8%

27.8%

46.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.9%

27.7%

46.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tuzla City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tuzla City's form might have worsened.

Zrinjski Mostar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Zrinjski Mostar's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tuzla City than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tuzla City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zrinjski Mostar than the current prediction. (-12.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Zrinjski Mostar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	0%	90.9%

Tuzla City - Zrinjski Mostar Predictions

Users Predictions: Zrinjski Mostar will win (20 of 22 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.9% – 100%.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Fejzic N. (G) 16. Coric D. 9. Hadzic I. 15. Hodzic D. 25. Kobiljar R. 10. Mehanovic M. 7. Nukic A. 29. Ordagic A. 11. Pantelic D. 19. Redzic H. 6. Sukilovic M. (C)	35. Maric M. (G) 99. Bilbija N. (C) 6. Corluka J. 25. Cuze M. 20. Ivancic A. 27. Jakovljevic S. 42. Lukanic L. 2. Marin L. 24. Misic P. 15. Radic S. 19. Ramic T.
Substitutes
13. Abdulahovic T. (G) 14. Jasaragic A. 17. Karjasevic H. 1. Lolic E. (G) 21. Mesinovic B. 3. Nikic N. 20. Osmic J. 18. Rekic B. 23. Ristic D. 22. Sejdovic E. 30. Susic T.	5. Canadjija D. 22. Hrvanovic A. 10. Kis T. 93. Kozulj Z. 17. Malekinusic M. 9. Sabljic F. 1. Sefo A. (G) 95. Senic M. 91. Ticinovic M. 8. Zlomislic D.
Coaches
Bosnjakovic M.	Rendulic K.

Preview

Postponed due to european competitions.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tuzla City won 1.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Zrinjski will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 19 head-to-head matches Tuzla City won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 12-39.

Including matches at home between the teams Tuzla City won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 7-16.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Tuzla City
Bosnian Premier League
23.09.23	Tuzla City - Borac Banja Luka	1:2 ✺
15.09.23	Sloga Doboj - Tuzla City	2:1 ✺
03.09.23	Tuzla City - Igman Konjic	3:1 ✺
26.08.23	Željezničar Sarajevo - Tuzla City	3:1 ✺
21.08.23	Tuzla City - Sarajevo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLWLL
- Zrinjski Mostar
Bosnian Premier League
24.09.23	Zrinjski Mostar - Željezničar Sarajevo	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
21.09.23	Zrinjski Mostar - AZ Alkmaar	4:3 ✺
Bosnian Premier League
16.09.23	Sarajevo - Zrinjski Mostar	1:0 ✺
13.09.23	Zrinjski Mostar - Posušje	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
31.08.23	Zrinjski Mostar - LASK Linz	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Bosnian Premier League
28.05.23	Tuzla City - Zrinjski Mostar	3:0
Bosnian Cup
19.04.23	Zrinjski Mostar - Tuzla City	4:0
05.04.23	Tuzla City - Zrinjski Mostar	0:3
Bosnian Premier League
13.11.22	Tuzla City - Zrinjski Mostar	1:2
26.10.22	Zrinjski Mostar - Tuzla City	0:0
02.04.22	Zrinjski Mostar - Tuzla City	5:0
20.11.21	Tuzla City - Zrinjski Mostar	0:2

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