Match Info

WORLD: FIFA CLUB WORLD CUP - 3RD PLACE

Date: 22 December 2023, Friday

Location: Prince Abdullah al-Faisal Stadium (Jeddah)

Referee: Penso T. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 1, Voyo
Portugal	Sport TV2
Serbia	Arena Sport
United-kingdom	TNT Sports


	Urawa Red Diamonds		Al Ahly Cairo

	1	X	2
	2.88	4	2.2
	2.95	3.75	2.2
	2.85	3.75	2.2
	2.96	3.98	2.29
	2.89	3.98	2.29
	2.8	3.7	2.15
	2.85	3.78	2.24
	2.95	3.8	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.89 ↑ (2.39)	3.84 ↑ (3.55)	2.22 ↓ (2.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Urawa Red Diamonds
32.8%

Draw
24.6%

Al Ahly Cairo
42.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

26.7%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

27.9%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Urawa Red Diamonds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Urawa Red Diamonds's form might have worsened.

Al Ahly Cairo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al Ahly Cairo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Urawa Red Diamonds than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Urawa Red Diamonds, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al Ahly Cairo than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al Ahly Cairo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	9.1%	72.7%

Urawa Red Diamonds - Al Ahly Cairo Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Urawa will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Al Ahly will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al Ahly: 46.4% – 99%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Nishikawa S. (G) 2. Sakai H. (C) 28. Scholz A. 5. Hoibraaten M. 15. Akimoto T. 3. Ito A. 19. Iwao K. 14. Sekine T. 25. Yasui K. 8. Koizumi Y. 11. Kante	1. El Shenawy M. (C) 30. Hany M. 6. Yasser Ibrahim 24. Abdelmonem M. 21. Maaloul A. 13. Ateya M. 36. Ahmed Kouka 22. Ashour E. 10. Tau P. 7. Kahraba 14. El Shahat H.
Substitutes
4. Iwanami T. 30. Koroki S. 9. Linssen B. 10. Nakajima S. 16. Niekawa A. (G) 26. Ogiwara T. 66. Ohata A. 21. Okubo T. 27. Panya E. 17. Schalk A. 22. Shibato K. 31. Yoshida S. (G)	2. Abdelfattah K. 19. Afsha 15. Dieng A. 33. El Debes K. 17. El Solia A. 28. Fouad K. 16. Hamza Alaa (G) 29. Mohamed T. 31. Oufa Shobeir (G) 5. Rabia R. 8. Tawfik A.
Coaches
Skorza M.	Koller M.

Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Al Ahly Cairo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Al Ahly Cairo will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Urawa Red Diamonds
FIFA Club World Cup
19.12.23	Urawa Red Diamonds - Manchester City	0:3 ✺
15.12.23	Club León - Urawa Red Diamonds	0:1 ✺
AFC Champions League
06.12.23	Hà Nội FC - Urawa Red Diamonds	2:1 ✺
Japan J1 League
03.12.23	Consadole Sapporo - Urawa Red Diamonds	0:2 ✺
AFC Champions League
29.11.23	Urawa Red Diamonds - Wuhan Three Towns	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LWLWW
- Al Ahly Cairo
FIFA Club World Cup
18.12.23	Fluminense - Al Ahly Cairo	2:0 ✺
15.12.23	Al Ahly Cairo - Al-Ittihad Alexandria	3:1 ✺
CAF Champions League
08.12.23	Al Ahly Cairo - Belouizdad	0:0 ✺
02.12.23	Young Africans - Al Ahly Cairo	1:1 ✺
Egyptian Premier League
28.11.23	Al Ahly Cairo - Smouha	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LWTTT

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