Match Info

WORLD: FIFA CLUB WORLD CUP - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 18 December 2023, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 1
Portugal	Sport TV3
United-kingdom	TNT Sports


	Fluminense		Al Ahly Cairo

	1	X	2
	2	3.3	4
	1.98	3.2	4.1
	1.9	3.25	4
	2	3.4	4.3
	2	3.28	4.34
	1.91	3.2	3.9
	1.96	3.3	4.05
	2.01	3.25	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↑ (1.78)	3.27 ↓ (3.57)	4.1 ↓ (4.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fluminense
48%

Draw
28.9%

Al Ahly Cairo
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53%

26.5%

20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

29.1%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fluminense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Al Ahly Cairo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fluminense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al Ahly Cairo than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Fluminense - Al Ahly Cairo Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Fluminense will win (votes: 9 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fluminense: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fabio (G) 2. Samuel Xavier 33. Nino (C) 30. Felipe Melo 12. Marcelo 7. Andre 8. Martinelli L. M. 21. Jhon Arias 10. Ganso 11. Keno 14. Cano G.	1. El Shenawy M. (C) 30. Hany M. 6. Yasser Ibrahim 24. Abdelmonem M. 21. Maaloul A. 8. Tawfik A. 22. Ashour E. 13. Ateya M. 10. Tau P. 7. Kahraba 14. El Shahat H.
Substitutes
5. Alexsander 20. Daniel 44. David Braz 40. Diogo Barbosa 38. Gonzalez Y. 23. Guga 9. John Kennedy 45. Lima 4. Marlon 22. Pedro Rangel (G) 29. Thiago Santos 98. Vitor Eudes (G)	2. Abdelfattah K. 19. Afsha 36. Ahmed Kouka 15. Dieng A. 33. El Debes K. 17. El Solia A. 28. Fouad K. 16. Hamza Alaa (G) 29. Mohamed T. 31. Oufa Shobeir (G) 5. Rabia R.
Coaches
Diniz F.	Koller M.

Preview

Recent matches Fluminense is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Al Ahly Cairo is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Fluminense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Al Ahly Cairo have a series of home games.

In this match Fluminense is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fluminense RJ
Brazilian Serie A
06.12.23	Fluminense - Grêmio	2:3 ✺
03.12.23	Palmeiras - Fluminense	1:0 ✺
29.11.23	Santos - Fluminense	0:3 ✺
25.11.23	Fluminense - Coritiba	2:1 ✺
22.11.23	Fluminense - São Paulo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LLWWW
- Al Ahly Cairo
FIFA Club World Cup
15.12.23	Al Ahly Cairo - Al-Ittihad Alexandria	3:1 ✺
CAF Champions League
08.12.23	Al Ahly Cairo - Belouizdad	0:0 ✺
02.12.23	Young Africans - Al Ahly Cairo	1:1 ✺
Egyptian Premier League
28.11.23	Al Ahly Cairo - Smouha	0:0 ✺
CAF Champions League
25.11.23	Al Ahly Cairo - Medeama	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WTTTW

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