Match Info

ASIA: AFC CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - ROUND 5

Date: 29 November 2023, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Paramount+
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Croatia	SportKlub
Portugal	Canal 11
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub
Ukraine	Sport 2


	Urawa Red Diamonds		Wuhan Three Towns

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.38	4.75	7.5	Watch
	1.36	4.75	8	Watch
	1.35	5.32	9.4
	1.35	5.32	8.13
	1.29	4.8	7.5
	1.36	5	7.9	Watch
	1.36	4.7	7.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↑ (1.34)	4.95 ↑ (4.56)	7.98 ↑ (7.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Urawa Red Diamonds
69.3%

Draw
18.9%

Wuhan Three Towns
11.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.9%

19.9%

12.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.5%

16.9%

14.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Urawa Red Diamonds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Wuhan Three Towns has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Urawa Red Diamonds than the current prediction. (-11.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Urawa Red Diamonds that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wuhan Three Towns than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	11.1%	22.2%

Urawa Red Diamonds - Wuhan Three Towns Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Urawa will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Wuhan Three Towns will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Urawa: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Nishikawa S. (G) 26. Ogiwara T. 28. Scholz A. 5. Hoibraaten M. 66. Ohata A. 19. Iwao K. (C) 25. Yasui K. 18. Takahashi T. 8. Koizumi Y. 10. Nakajima S. 9. Linssen B.	22. Liu Dianzuo (G) 15. Jiang Zhipeng 23. Hang Ren (C) 5. Park Ji-Su 25. Han-Wen D. 12. Zhang Xiaobin 21. He Chao 30. Xie Pengfei 26. He Guan 9. Aziz 11. Davidson
Substitutes
35. Hayakawa J. 40. Hirano Y. 29. Horiuchi Y. 4. Iwanami T. 11. Kante 24. Miyamoto Y. 16. Niekawa A. (G) 21. Okubo T. 27. Panya E. 17. Schalk A. 14. Sekine T. 22. Shibato K.	17. Chen Yuhao 24. Duan Liuyu 20. Gao Zhunyi 31. Guo Jiayu (G) 18. Liu Yiming 2. Li Y. 13. Marcao 29. Tao Qianglong 28. Wang Denny 8. Yan Dinghao 16. Yang Kuo 19. Zhang Wentao
Coaches
Skorza M.	Takahata T.

Preview

Urawa has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Wuhan Three Towns is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Urawa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Urawa is absolute favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Urawa won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Urawa Red Diamonds
Japan J1 League
25.11.23	Urawa Red Diamonds - Avispa Fukuoka	2:3 ✺
12.11.23	Urawa Red Diamonds - Vissel Kobe	1:2 ✺
AFC Champions League
08.11.23	Pohang Steelers - Urawa Red Diamonds	2:1 ✺
Japan J League Cup
04.11.23	Avispa Fukuoka - Urawa Red Diamonds	2:1 ✺
Japan J1 League
28.10.23	Kashima Antlers - Urawa Red Diamonds	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLLT
- Wuhan Three Towns FC
AFC Champions League
08.11.23	Hà Nội FC - Wuhan Three Towns	2:1 ✺
Chinese Super League
04.11.23	Changchun Yatai - Wuhan Three Towns	3:4 ✺
29.10.23	Wuhan Three Towns - Shenzhen	1:0 ✺
AFC Champions League
24.10.23	Wuhan Three Towns - Hà Nội FC	2:1 ✺
Chinese Super League
20.10.23	Dalian Pro - Wuhan Three Towns	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

AFC Champions League
20.09.23	Wuhan Three Towns - Urawa Red Diamonds	2:2

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