Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 19

Date: 26 January 2025, Sunday


	Urraca		Mosconia

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.1	2.6
	2.46	3.05	2.4
	2.58	3.07	2.67	Watch
	2.48	3.08	2.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↑ (2.38)	3.08 ↓ (3.13)	2.57 ↓ (2.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Urraca
36.1%

Draw
29.1%

Mosconia
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

28.9%

33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7%

30.3%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Urraca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Mosconia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Urraca than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mosconia than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Urraca - Mosconia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
13', 1 - 0, Carrero S. ⚽,
43', 1 - 1, ⚽,
45+1', 1 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
65', 1 - 3, ⚽,
80', 1 - 4, Gning E. H. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 6).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Urraca won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0 (average 1:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Urraca CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
19.01.25	Condal - Urraca	1:0 ✺
12.01.25	Praviano - Urraca	1:3 ✺
22.12.24	Urraca - Sporting de Gijón B	1:5 ✺
15.12.24	Urraca - Roces	0:0 ✺
06.12.24	Ceares - Urraca	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LWLTT
- CD Mosconia
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
19.01.25	Mosconia - Praviano	1:0 ✺
12.01.25	Mosconia - Roces	2:0 ✺
21.12.24	Lealtad - Mosconia	1:0 ✺
15.12.24	Mosconia - Real Oviedo B	0:3 ✺
06.12.24	Real Titánico - Mosconia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
13.02.22	Mosconia - Urraca	0:0
16.02.20	Mosconia - Urraca	0:2

Urraca - Mosconia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide