Match Info

Date: 28 November 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Ursaria		Moratalaz

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.7	3.1
	2.2	2.65	3.1
	2.24	2.75	3.1
	2.27	2.75	3.25
	2.27	3.1	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↓ (2.6)	2.79 ↑ (2.77)	3.13 ↑ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ursaria
39.5%

Draw
32%

Moratalaz
28.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33.5%

31.4%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.8%

22.5%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ursaria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ursaria's performance.

Moratalaz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Moratalaz might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ursaria than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ursaria, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moratalaz than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Ursaria - Moratalaz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 9 and 10).

Ursaria is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Moratalaz is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Moratalaz could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Ursaria will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CDE Ursaria
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
21.11.21	Villaviciosa de Odón - Ursaria	0:2 ✺
14.11.21	Villaverde San Andrés - Ursaria	0:1 ✺
07.11.21	Ursaria - Trival Valderas	0:0 ✺
31.10.21	Ursaria - Torrejón	0:0 ✺
24.10.21	Parla - Ursaria	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWTTT
- ED Moratalaz
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
21.11.21	Moratalaz - Parla	1:2 ✺
17.11.21	CDE Madrid - Moratalaz	2:1 ✺
14.11.21	Moratalaz - Getafe B	2:1 ✺
07.11.21	Tres Cantos - Moratalaz	1:1 ✺
31.10.21	Moratalaz - Galapagar	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLWTW

Ursaria - Moratalaz

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Ursaria - Moratalaz Predictions

Preview

Form

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