Match Info

POLAND: III LIGA - GROUP I - ROUND 26

Date: 29 April 2023, Saturday


	Ursus Warszawa		Concordia Elbląg

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.3	2
	3.6	3.4	1.85
	2.91	3.57	2.05
	3.1	3.48	2.1	Watch
	2.93	3.55	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.13 ↑ (2.2)	3.46 ↓ (3.5)	2.01 ↓ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ursus Warszawa
28.9%

Draw
26.1%

Concordia Elbląg
45%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

26%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

27.4%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ursus Warszawa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ursus Warszawa's form might have worsened.

Concordia Elbląg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Concordia Elbląg's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ursus Warszawa than the current prediction. (+14.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ursus Warszawa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Concordia Elbląg than the current prediction. (-14.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Concordia Elbląg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ursus Warszawa - Concordia Elbląg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Ursus Warszawa is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Concordia is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Concordia will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ursus Warszawa won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Ursus Warszawa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RKS Ursus Warszawa
Polish Division 3 - Group I
22.04.23	Olimpia Zambrów - Ursus Warszawa	2:0 ✺
15.04.23	Ursus Warszawa - Pilica Białobrzegi	3:1 ✺
08.04.23	Warta Sieradz - Ursus Warszawa	4:0 ✺
05.04.23	Broń Radom - Ursus Warszawa	0:1 ✺
01.04.23	Ursus Warszawa - Legia II	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LWLWL
- Concordia Elbląg
Polish Division 3 - Group I
23.04.23	Concordia Elbląg - Sokół Ostróda	2:0 ✺
15.04.23	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Concordia Elbląg	1:0 ✺
12.04.23	Unia Skierniewice - Concordia Elbląg	1:1 ✺
07.04.23	Concordia Elbląg - Pelikan Łowicz	2:0 ✺
01.04.23	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Concordia Elbląg	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 34 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
24.09.22	Concordia Elbląg - Ursus Warszawa	1:1
24.04.21	Concordia Elbląg - Ursus Warszawa	0:2
29.08.20	Ursus Warszawa - Concordia Elbląg	3:1
02.11.19	Concordia Elbląg - Ursus Warszawa	1:0
03.05.17	Concordia Elbląg - Ursus Warszawa	2:1

Ursus Warszawa - Concordia Elbląg: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide