Match Info

POLAND: III LIGA - GROUP I - ROUND 24

Date: 15 April 2023, Saturday


	Ursus Warszawa		Pilica Białobrzegi

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.7	1.71
	4.07	3.77	1.66
	4.06	3.8	1.69	Watch
	3.5	3.7	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.85 ↑ (2.55)	3.74 ↑ (3.5)	1.72 ↓ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ursus Warszawa
23.4%

Draw
24.1%

Pilica Białobrzegi
52.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

26.1%

38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2%

25.7%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ursus Warszawa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ursus Warszawa's form might have worsened.

Pilica Białobrzegi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pilica Białobrzegi's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ursus Warszawa than the current prediction. (+11.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ursus Warszawa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pilica Białobrzegi than the current prediction. (-13.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pilica Białobrzegi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Ursus Warszawa is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Pilica Białobrzegi is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Pilica Białobrzegi could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Pilica Białobrzegi is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Ursus Warszawa won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Ursus Warszawa won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RKS Ursus Warszawa
Polish Division 3 - Group I
08.04.23	Warta Sieradz - Ursus Warszawa	4:0 ✺
05.04.23	Broń Radom - Ursus Warszawa	0:1 ✺
01.04.23	Ursus Warszawa - Legia II	0:2 ✺
25.03.23	Mławianka Mława - Ursus Warszawa	5:1 ✺
18.03.23	Ursus Warszawa - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LWLLT
- MKS Pilica Białobrzegi
Polish Division 3 - Group I
08.04.23	Pilica Białobrzegi - Sokół Ostróda	1:0 ✺
02.04.23	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Pilica Białobrzegi	2:2 ✺
25.03.23	Pilica Białobrzegi - Pelikan Łowicz	2:0 ✺
18.03.23	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Pilica Białobrzegi	1:0 ✺
15.03.23	Pilica Białobrzegi - Jagiellonia II Białystok	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
10.09.22	Pilica Białobrzegi - Ursus Warszawa	0:0
01.06.22	Ursus Warszawa - Pilica Białobrzegi	1:1
30.10.21	Pilica Białobrzegi - Ursus Warszawa	2:3

Ursus Warszawa - Pilica Białobrzegi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide