Match Info

Friendly International

Date: 18 November 2025, Tuesday

Location: Raymond James Stadium (Tampa, FL)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
China	ZhiBo8
Indonesia	Vidio
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN
North-central-america	ESPN Norte
Peru	Disney+
South-america	DGO Latin America
Uruguay	Antel TV, AUFTV, Cardinal TV, DirecTV Sports, Disney+, DSports 1, Eventos Montecable, Flow, Montecable 1, NS Eventos, TCC 1, TCC 2
Usa	Fubo Sports Network, Futbol de Primera Radio, HBO Max, NBC Universo, Peacock TV Premium, Peacock, TeleXitos, TNT, truTV, UNIVERSO NOW
Venezuela	Disney+


	USA		Uruguay

	1	X	2
	3.4	3	2.25	Watch
	3.35	2.98	2.28
	3.53	3.07	2.29
	3.32	3.04	2.28	Watch
	3.46	3.06	2.29	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.41 ↑ (2.75)	3.03 ↓ (3.13)	2.28 ↓ (2.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

USA
27.6%

Draw
31.1%

Uruguay
41.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.8%

30.6%

34.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

USA has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that USA's form might have worsened.

Uruguay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Uruguay's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	66.7%	22.2%

USA - Uruguay Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. USA will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Uruguay will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Uruguay (1.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Uruguay (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Freese M. (G) New York City 16. Freeman A. Orlando City 15. Trusty A. Celtic 22. McKenzie M. (C) Toulouse 2. Dest S. PSV 14. Tillman T. Los Angeles FC 17. Berhalter S. Vancouver Whitecaps 3. Tolkin J. Holstein Kiel 23. Morris A. Middlesbrough 10. Luna D. Real Salt Lake 19. Wright H. Coventry	1. Fiermarin C. (G) Deportes Tolima 8. Nandez N. Al Qadisiya 4. Araujo R. Barcelona 16. Olivera M. Napoli 17. Vina M. Flamengo RJ 14. Zalazar R. Braga 5. Ugarte M. Manchester United 6. Bentancur R. (C) Tottenham 10. de Arrascaeta G. Flamengo RJ 9. Vinas F. Real Oviedo 20. Araujo M. Sporting CP
Substitutes
11. Aaronson B. Leeds 18. Arfsten M. Columbus Crew 20. Balogun F. Monaco 24. Celentano R. (G) FC Cincinnati 21. Klinsmann J. (G) Cesena 9. Pepi R. PSV 13. Ream T. Charlotte FC 7. Reyna G. B. Monchengladbach 12. Robinson M. FC Cincinnati 6. Roldan C. Seattle Sounders 5. Scally J. B. Monchengladbach 25. Schulte P. (G) Columbus Crew 8. Tessmann T. Lyon	7. Aguirre R. Club America 3. Bueno S. Wolves 2. Gimenez J. M. Atl. Madrid 15. Martinez E. Palmeiras 12. Martinez K. (G) Danubio 23. Mele S. (G) Monterrey 22. Piquerez J. Palmeiras 18. Rodriguez B. Club America 19. Rodriguez L. Neom SC 25. Sanabria J. Atletico San Luis 21. Torres F. Palmeiras 13. Varela G. Flamengo RJ
Coaches
Pochettino M.	Bielsa M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 1)
17', 1 - 0, Berhalter S. ⚽, Dest S. (A),
20', 2 - 0, Freeman A. ⚽, Berhalter S. (A),
31', 3 - 0, Freeman A. ⚽, Trusty A. (A),
42', 4 - 0, Luna D. ⚽,
45+1', 4 - 1, de Arrascaeta G. ⚽, Zalazar R. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Vina M. ↓, Piquerez J. ↑,
46', Vinas F. ↓, Aguirre R. ↑,
50', Bentancur R. 🟨,
60', Dest S. ↓, Tessmann T. ↑,
61', Wright H. ↓, Balogun F. ↑,
61', Luna D. ↓, Reyna G. ↑,
64', Bentancur R. 🟥,
67', de Arrascaeta G. ↓, Martinez E. ↑,
68', 5 - 1, Tessmann T. ⚽, Reyna G. (A),
72', Reyna G. 🟨,
72', Araujo M. ↓, Torres F. ↑,
75', Tolkin J. ↓, Arfsten M. ↑,
75', Tillman T. ↓, Aaronson B. ↑,
76', Balogun F. 🟨,
81', Aguirre R. 🟨,
89', Morris A. ↓, Roldan C. ↑,

Preview

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, USA won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USA
Friendly
15.11.25	USA - Paraguay	2:1 ✺
14.10.25	USA - Australia	2:1 ✺
10.10.25	USA - Ecuador	1:1 ✺
09.09.25	USA - Japan	2:0 ✺
06.09.25	USA - South Korea	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWTWL
- Uruguay
Friendly
15.11.25	Mexico - Uruguay	0:0 ✺
13.10.25	Uzbekistan - Uruguay	1:2 ✺
10.10.25	Uruguay - Dominican Republic	1:0 ✺
FIFA World Cup
09.09.25	Chile - Uruguay	0:0 ✺
04.09.25	Uruguay - Peru	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Copa America
01.07.24	USA - Uruguay	0:1
Friendly
05.06.22	USA - Uruguay	0:0
10.09.19	USA - Uruguay	1:1

USA - Uruguay: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide