Match Info

WORLD: Friendly International

Date: 8 June 2024, Saturday

Location: Kyle Field (College Station, TX)


	Mexico		Brazil

	1	X	2
	6.5	4.5	1.42
	7.5	4.5	1.4
	6.5	4.5	1.45
	7.56	4.7	1.44
	7.53	4.68	1.42
	7	4.4	1.36
	6.85	4.65	1.45	Watch
	6.4	4.5	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.98 ↑ (3.72)	4.55 ↑ (3.58)	1.42 ↓ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mexico
13.4%

Draw
20.6%

Brazil
66%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25%

26%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mexico has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mexico's form might have worsened.

Brazil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Brazil's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
4.2%	8.3%	87.5%

Mexico - Brazil Predictions

Users Predictions: Brazil will win (21 of 24 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.27% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Gonzalez J. (G) U.N.A.M.- Pumas 2. Reyes I. Club America 5. Vasquez J. Genoa 6. Arteaga G. Monterrey 15. Antuna U. Cruz Azul 8. Rodriguez C. Cruz Azul 4. Alvarez E. (C) West Ham 7. Romo L. Monterrey 24. Chavez L. Dynamo Moscow 9. Quinones J. Club America 11. Gimenez S. Feyenoord	110. Alisson (C) Liverpool 13. Couto Y. Girona 3. Militao E. Real Madrid 25. Bremer Juventus 16. Guilherme Arana Atletico-MG 24. Ederson Atalanta 18. Douglas Luiz Aston Villa 19. Pereira A. Fulham 20. Savio Girona 21. Evanilson FC Porto 22. Martinelli G. Arsenal
Substitutes
25. Alvarado R. Guadalajara Chivas 20. Beltran F. Guadalajara Chivas 16. Cortizo J. Monterrey 18. Flores M. U.A.N.L.- Tigres 28. Garcia Caprizo B. A. Toluca 31. Gonzalez B. Pachuca 21. Huerta Valera C. S. U.N.A.M.- Pumas 29. Martinez G. U.N.A.M.- Pumas 30. Montano A. Mazatlan FC 13. Orozco J. Guadalajara Chivas 26. Pena A. Necaxa 17. Pineda O. AEK 23. Rangel Aguilar J. R. (G) Guadalajara Chivas 19. Sanchez J. FC Porto 10. Vega A. Toluca	12. Bento (G) Athletico-PR 17. Beraldo L. PSG 2. Danilo Juventus 9. Endrick Palmeiras 14. Gabriel Arsenal 15. Gomes J. Wolves 5. Guimaraes B. Newcastle Utd 4. Marquinhos PSG 8. Paqueta L. West Ham 26. Pepê FC Porto 23. Rafael (G) Sao Paulo 11. Raphinha Barcelona 10. Rodrygo Real Madrid 7. Vinicius Junior Real Madrid 6. Wendell FC Porto
Coaches
Lozano J.	Junior D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Pereira A. ⚽, Savio (A),
27', Couto Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
54', 0 - 2, Martinelli G. ⚽, Couto Y. (A),
61', Pereira A. ↓, Paqueta L. ↑,
61', Rodriguez C. ↓, Pineda O. ↑,
62', Chavez L. ↓, Vega A. ↑,
62', Evanilson ↓, Endrick ↑,
62', Martinelli G. ↓, Pepê ↑,
68', Militao E. 🟨,
73', 1 - 2, Quinones J. ⚽, Vega A. (A),
74', Savio ↓, Vinicius Junior ↑,
74', Douglas Luiz ↓, Guimaraes B. ↑,
79', Antuna U. ↓, Cortizo J. ↑,
84', Ederson ↓, Gomes J. ↑,
89', Gimenez S. ↓, Martinez G. ↑,
89', Quinones J. ↓, Huerta Valera C. S. ↑,
90+3', 2 - 2, Martinez G. ⚽,
90+6', 2 - 3, Endrick ⚽, Vinicius Junior (A),
90+8', Endrick 🟨,

Preview

Neutral location.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mexico won 1.

Brazil could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Brazil is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Mexico won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mexico
Friendly
05.06.24	Mexico - Uruguay	0:4 ✺
31.05.24	Mexico - Bolivia	1:0 ✺
CONCACAF Nations League
24.03.24	USA - Mexico	2:0 ✺
21.03.24	Panama - Mexico	0:3 ✺
Friendly
16.12.23	Mexico - Colombia	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LWLWL
- Brazil
Friendly
26.03.24	Spain - Brazil	3:3 ✺
23.03.24	England - Brazil	0:1 ✺
FIFA World Cup
21.11.23	Brazil - Argentina	0:1 ✺
16.11.23	Colombia - Brazil	2:1 ✺
17.10.23	Uruguay - Brazil	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

FIFA World Cup
02.07.18	Brazil - Mexico	2:0
Friendly
07.06.15	Brazil - Mexico	2:0
FIFA World Cup
17.06.14	Brazil - Mexico	0:0
FIFA Confederations Cup
19.06.13	Brazil - Mexico	2:0
Olympic Games - Football
11.08.12	Brazil - Mexico	1:2

Mexico - Brazil: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide