The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Épila 23.1%
Draw 29.1%
Utebo 47.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
20.2%
29.1%
50.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
19.3%
27.7%
53.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Épila has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
Utebo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Épila than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Utebo than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Utebo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
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Preview
Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 17 (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).
Épila is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Utebo is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Épila could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Utebo is a favorite.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Épila won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-5.
Including matches at home between the teams Épila won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.