Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 6 - Round 18

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday


	Utiel		Atlético Saguntino

	1	X	2
	2.52	2.68	2.92
	2.55	2.84	2.92
	2.6	2.63	2.88
	2.52	2.76	2.83
	2.54	2.75	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↓ (3.05)	2.73 ↓ (3.05)	2.89 ↑ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Utiel
35.6%

Draw
33.1%

Atlético Saguntino
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30%

40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6%

30.4%

40.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Utiel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Utiel's performance.

Atlético Saguntino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético Saguntino might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Utiel than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Utiel that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Saguntino than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético Saguntino could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Utiel - Atlético Saguntino Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
40', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
90', 1 - 1, ⚽,
90', 1 - 2, ⚽,
90', 1 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 12 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 6 (Play Offs: )).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Saguntino may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Saguntino is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Utiel won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Utiel won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Saguntino	5	2	1	2	7:7	0	7
17	Utiel	5	0	3	2	4:7	-3	3

Last Results with these Odds

Atlético Saguntino - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 40.08%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Utiel
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
10.01.26	Vall de Uxó - Utiel	0:1 ✺
04.01.26	Utiel - Alzira	1:1 ✺
20.12.25	Español de San Vicente - Utiel	0:0 ✺
06.12.25	Recambios Colón - Utiel	2:2 ✺
23.11.25	Utiel - Torrellano	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WTTTT
- Atlético Saguntino
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
14.01.26	Alzira - Atlético Saguntino	3:1 ✺
11.01.26	Hércules B - Atlético Saguntino	0:2 ✺
04.01.26	Atlético Saguntino - Vall de Uxó	2:0 ✺
20.12.25	Atlético Saguntino - Castellonense	0:0 ✺
06.12.25	Atlético Saguntino - Ontinyent 1931	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
07.09.25	Atlético Saguntino - Utiel	2:0
04.05.25	Atlético Saguntino - Utiel	1:2
22.12.24	Utiel - Atlético Saguntino	1:1

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