Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 6 - Round 15

Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday


	Atlético Saguntino		Castellonense

	1	X	2
	2.48	2.98	2.68
	2.66	2.6	2.96
	2.66	2.7	2.94	Watch
	2.63	2.63	2.9
	2.54	2.79	2.77
	2.54	2.66	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↑ (2.53)	2.73 ↓ (2.73)	2.88 ↓ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Saguntino
35.1%

Draw
33.3%

Castellonense
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.1%

33.4%

30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

33.7%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Saguntino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Castellonense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Saguntino than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castellonense than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Atlético Saguntino - Castellonense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 6 (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Saguntino is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Castellonense is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Saguntino won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).

Including home match between the teams, Saguntino won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Atlético Saguntino - the odds 2.53 are the expected chance of winning is 36.15%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Saguntino
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
06.12.25	Atlético Saguntino - Ontinyent 1931	0:1 ✺
22.11.25	Español de San Vicente - Atlético Saguntino	0:1 ✺
16.11.25	Atlético Saguntino - Villarreal C	3:2 ✺
08.11.25	Roda - Atlético Saguntino	2:4 ✺
02.11.25	Atlético Saguntino - La Nucía	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LWWWT
- UD Castellonense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
06.12.25	Castellonense - Villarreal C	3:2 ✺
23.11.25	La Nucía - Castellonense	0:2 ✺
16.11.25	Castellonense - Crevillente Deportivo	2:1 ✺
09.11.25	Soneja - Castellonense	0:1 ✺
02.11.25	Castellonense - Buñol	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
02.03.25	Atlético Saguntino - Castellonense	0:1
20.10.24	Castellonense - Atlético Saguntino	1:0

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