Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 6 - Round 24

Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday


	Utiel		Ontinyent 1931

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.62	3.1
	2.58	2.64	3.14
	1.00	1.00	1.06	Watch
	2.5	2.6	3
	2.51	2.62	3.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↓ (2.67)	2.3 ↓ (2.78)	2.68 ↑ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Utiel
35.9%

Draw
34.5%

Ontinyent 1931
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.8%

32.5%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.8%

34.4%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Utiel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Ontinyent 1931 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Utiel than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ontinyent 1931 than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Utiel - Ontinyent 1931 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
40', 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
54', 0 - 1, ⚽,
68', 1 - 1, ⚽,
79', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 and 7).

Utiel is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Ontinyent 1931 is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Utiel may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Ontinyent 1931 has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Utiel won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Utiel won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Ontinyent 1931	5	2	0	3	6:6	0	6
17	Utiel	5	0	3	2	4:7	-3	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Utiel
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
21.02.26	Villarreal C - Utiel	3:1 ✺
15.02.26	Utiel - La Nucía	0:0 ✺
08.02.26	Crevillente Deportivo - Utiel	3:1 ✺
01.02.26	Utiel - Soneja	1:2 ✺
24.01.26	Buñol - Utiel	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LTLLL
- Ontinyent 1931 CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
22.02.26	Ontinyent 1931 - Vall de Uxó	1:0 ✺
15.02.26	Alzira - Ontinyent 1931	0:0 ✺
08.02.26	Ontinyent 1931 - Español de San Vicente	1:0 ✺
25.01.26	Ontinyent 1931 - Recambios Colón	0:0 ✺
21.01.26	Ontinyent 1931 - Castellonense	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
19.10.25	Ontinyent 1931 - Utiel	0:0
06.04.25	Utiel - Ontinyent 1931	0:1
24.11.24	Ontinyent 1931 - Utiel	2:0
29.03.24	Utiel - Ontinyent 1931	1:0

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