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Current Win Probability
Utrecht 39.3%
Draw 25.5%
ADO Den Haag 35.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
37.1%
27.2%
35.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.9%
26.3%
36.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Utrecht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
ADO Den Haag has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Utrecht than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for ADO Den Haag than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Utrecht - ADO Den Haag Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Bastiaen F. (C) 16. Heshof K. 23. Netto M. 2. Hermans F. 33. Weerelts A. 9. Dap R. 34. Hader M. 11. Vos L. 8. Verkuijl M. 13. Scheunemann C. 17. van Hoof F.
1. Badenhop B. (G) 21. Burgers J. 4. den Turk D. 14. Koeleman S. 6. Mulder N. 19. Ijzerman N. (C) 18. Groenendijk T. 17. Kruize E. 8. Dupon Q. 7. van Egmond A. 9. Bol F.
Substitutes
19. Booms I. 14. Henry Z. 3. Houweling M. 6. Kira C. 31. Klaver A. (G) 22. Touw M. 71. van Kasteel N. 18. Vijlbrief R.
99. Blom R. 11. Boukakar R. 16. Buijs B. (G) 25. Horsman S. 23. Reijers F. 22. Sienna i. '. V. 15. van Walsem I. 37. Veerman E.
Coaches
Smit S.
Polak S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Burgers J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', 1 - 0, Scheunemann C. ⚽, van Hoof F. (A),
65', Dupon Q. ↓, Boukakar R. ↑,
65', Burgers J. ↓, van Walsem I. ↑,
66', Boukakar R. 🟨,
70', Scheunemann C. ↓, Kira C. ↑,
70', van Hoof F. ↓, Booms I. ↑,
74', Hader M. 🟨,
77', Mulder N. ↓, Reijers F. ↑,
77', den Turk D. ↓, Blom R. ↑,
79', Bol F. 🟨,
85', Dap R. ↓, Henry Z. ↑,
87', Groenendijk T. ↓, Horsman S. ↑,
90+1', Hader M. ↓, Vijlbrief R. ↑,
Preview
A dramatic battle between two struggling sides fighting for survival points (ranked 10th in the Relegation and 8th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Utrecht won 4.
Utrecht is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Den Haag has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
Our forecast points to a victory for Den Haag in today's match, at odds of 2.46.
In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Utrecht has recorded 4 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 16:9 (averaging 2.3:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Utrecht against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 5:6 goals (averaging 1.7:2 per game).