The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Utrecht 36.6%
Draw 25.5%
AZ Alkmaar 37.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.7%
24.6%
37.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.2%
24.3%
37.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Utrecht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
AZ Alkmaar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Utrecht than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Utrecht - AZ Alkmaar Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Bastiaen F. (G) 21. Paliama J. 14. op den Kelder G. 33. Weerelts A. 23. van Straten D. 15. Mahieu L. 6. Munsterman M. (C) 8. Renfurm R. 9. Tromp N. 5. Verhoeve S. 19. Loonen L.
1. Booms N. (G) 15. Groot P. 4. Woons K. 23. Stoop M. 2. Caprino G. 21. Van Uden J. 8. de Vette M. 10. van Lunteren D. (C) 18. Dessing S. 11. Kroese F. 6. van Beijeren J.
Substitutes
39. Dap R. 24. de Heus L. (G) 7. de Jong S. 18. Groenendijk T. 2. Hermans F. 12. Koopman K. 13. Scheunemann C. 10. Snellenberg M.
13. Copier F. (G) 7. Ellouzi S. 16. Harting A. 12. Noom M. 9. Spaan F. 19. Stoop D. 22. Thomas K.
Coaches
Helbling L.
de Vogel W.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 3)
16', 0 - 1, Dessing S. ⚽, van Beijeren J. (A),
22', 0 - 2, Kroese F. ⚽,
28', 0 - 3, Dessing S. ⚽,
40', 1 - 3, op den Kelder G. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Renfurm R. ↓, Dap R. ↑,
46', Mahieu L. ↓, Snellenberg M. ↑,
56', 2 - 3, Dap R. ⚽,
63', Dessing S. ↓, Thomas K. ↑,
63', Kroese F. ↓, Spaan F. ↑,
71', Snellenberg M. 🟨,
76', de Vette M. ↓, Ellouzi S. ↑,
79', 3 - 3, Tromp N. ⚽,
82', Van Uden J. ↓, Harting A. ↑,
84', van Lunteren D. 🟨,
84', van Straten D. ↓, de Jong S. ↑,
89', Loonen L. ↓, Groenendijk T. ↑,
90+5', Tromp N. ↓, Koopman K. ↑,
Preview
This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 6 and 7).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Utrecht won 1.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Utrecht won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 2.1:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Utrecht won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:7. (average 2:2.3).