The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Excelsior 13.9%
Draw 21.7%
AZ Alkmaar 64.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
11.4%
17.1%
71.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Excelsior has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
AZ Alkmaar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and AZ Alkmaar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
Excelsior - AZ Alkmaar Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. van der Klooster A. (G) 17. Vrij N. 4. Helderman Y. 3. Westerink M. 21. Burgers J. 14. Verheijen J. 11. Martina S. 8. Hilhorst N. 9. Gomez I. 10. Hendriks K. 22. Homan C.
1. Booms N. (G) 2. Caprino G. 4. Woons K. 23. Stoop M. 5. Mol C. 8. de Vette M. 10. van Lunteren D. 22. Thomas K. 20. van Bentum M. 11. Kroese F. 18. Dessing S.
Substitutes
2. De With L. 20. Frankena S. (G) 12. Raaff de J. 23. Redouani I. 6. van der Vlist A. 15. Yamamoto M.
7. Ellouzi S. 12. Eloualidi A. 15. Groot P. 31. Leek J. 9. Spaan F. 19. Stoop D.
Coaches
Kreugel M.
de Vogel W.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
22', 1 - 0, Vrij N. ⚽,
29', 1 - 1, Kroese F. ⚽, van Bentum M. (A),
35', 1 - 2, Kroese F. ⚽, Caprino G. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', Westerink M. 🟨,
61', Helderman Y. ↓, van der Vlist A. ↑,
61', Gomez I. ↓, van der Eijk F. ↑,
61', Martina S. ↓, Redouani I. ↑,
66', Burgers J. 🟨,
68', Thomas K. ↓, Ellouzi S. ↑,
68', Kroese F. ↓, Spaan F. ↑,
72', van Bentum M. 🟨,
76', Verheijen J. 🟨,
84', Dessing S. ↓, Eloualidi A. ↑,
84', Vrij N. ↓, De With L. ↑,
87', Ellouzi S. 🟨,
90+2', 1 - 3, Ellouzi S. ⚽,
Preview
In this match, AZ Alkmaar is the obvious favorite.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Excelsior won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:10. (average 0.8:2.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Excelsior won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 1:2.5).