Match Info

Europa League - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 31 July 2025, Thursday

Location: Stadion Galgenwaard (Utrecht)

Referee: Theouli C. (Cyp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2, Ziggo Sport


	Utrecht		Sheriff Tiraspol

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.33	8.5	Watch
	1.34	5.25	8
	1.35	4.95	7.4	Watch
	1.34	5.23	8.19
	1.45	4.39	6.87	Watch
	1.33	4.6	8
	1.36	5.21	8.8	Watch
	1.37	3.89	7.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 (1.37)	4.73 ↑ (3.89)	7.9 ↑ (7.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Utrecht
68.4%

Draw
19.8%

Sheriff Tiraspol
11.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65%

22.9%

12%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.5%

22.4%

11.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Utrecht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Sheriff Tiraspol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Utrecht than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sheriff Tiraspol than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.9%	9.1%	0%

Utrecht - Sheriff Tiraspol Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Utrecht (votes: 3 - 50%). Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Utrecht will win (20 of 22 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.9% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Barkas V. (G) 16. El Karouani S. 3. van der Hoorn M. 24. Viergever N. (C) 2. Horemans S. 7. Jensen V. 27. Engwanda A. 21. Zechiel G. 10. Cathline Y. 9. Min D. 26. Jonathans M.	21. Dyulgerov I. (G) 29. Magassouba S. 3. Boakye N. 6. Rai 4. Swen N. 69. Ademo P. (C) 8. Soumah I. 44. Mija A. 90. Yade P. 77. Diarra M. 9. Gjoni A.
Substitutes
15. Blake A. 8. Bozdogan C. 25. Brouwer M. (G) 20. de Wit D. 40. Didden M. 5. Finnsson K. 33. Gadellaa K. (G) 55. Murkin D. J. 11. Ohio N. 22. Rodriguez M. 46. van Ommeren J. 23. Vesterlund N.	2. Atila 33. Corotcov M. 27. Cozma V. 7. Fernando Neto 24. Forov D. 42. Konan Varvar 25. Obiscalov S. (G) 12. Odede E. 10. Serobyan A. 1. Straistari V. (G)
Coaches
Jans R.	Mihailov V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, Jensen V. ⚽, Horemans S. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', 2 - 0, Horemans S. ⚽, El Karouani S. (A),
56', 3 - 0, Viergever N. ⚽, Horemans S. (A),
58', Gjoni A. ↓, Odede E. ↑,
62', Diarra M. ↓, Serobyan A. ↑,
62', Jonathans M. ↓, Blake A. ↑,
72', Soumah I. ↓, Corotcov M. ↑,
72', Yade P. ↓, Cozma V. ↑,
73', Min D. ↓, Ohio N. ↑,
73', Jensen V. ↓, de Wit D. ↑,
75', 3 - 1, Odede E. ⚽, Cozma V. (A),
84', Cathline Y. ↓, Rodriguez M. ↑,
84', Horemans S. ↓, Vesterlund N. ↑,
89', 4 - 1, El Karouani S. ⚽, Engwanda A. (A),

Preview

1st leg result: 3-1. 2nd leg.

In recent matches, Utrecht has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Sheriff has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Utrecht may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Utrecht is the obvious favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Utrecht won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Utrecht
UEFA Europa League
24.07.25	Sheriff Tiraspol - Utrecht	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
19.07.25	Waalwijk - Utrecht	2:1 ✺
18.07.25	Utrecht - Charleroi	1:2 ✺
11.07.25	Utrecht - Kaizer Chiefs	4:0 ✺
05.07.25	Utrecht - Cercle Brugge	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLLWW
- Sheriff Tiraspol
Moldovan Super Liga
27.07.25	Sheriff Tiraspol - Zimbru Chişinău	2:3 ✺
UEFA Europa League
24.07.25	Sheriff Tiraspol - Utrecht	1:3 ✺
Moldovan Super Liga
20.07.25	Petrocub-Hîncești - Sheriff Tiraspol	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
17.07.25	Prishtina - Sheriff Tiraspol	2:1 ✺
Moldovan Super Liga
13.07.25	Sheriff Tiraspol - Bălți	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
24.07.25	Sheriff Tiraspol - Utrecht	1:3

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