Match Info

Eredivisie - Round 13

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday

Location: BUKO Stadion (Velsen-Zuid)

Referee: Hensgens R. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN Extra


	Telstar		Utrecht

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.75	2	Watch
	3.35	3.7	2.08
	3.17	3.69	2.16
	3.39	3.72	2.02	Watch
	3.38	3.62	2.13	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.36 ↓ (3.39)	3.7 ↓ (3.72)	2.08 ↑ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Telstar
28.4%

Draw
25.8%

Utrecht
45.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.9%

25.4%

46.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.3%

24.9%

47.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Telstar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Utrecht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Telstar than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Utrecht than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13%	8.7%	78.3%

Telstar - Utrecht Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Utrecht will win (18 of 23 users predict this - 78.26%).
Confidence interval (95%): 61.4% – 95.12%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Utrecht will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Koeman R. (G) 14. Ogidi Nwankwo N. 21. Koswal D. 6. Bakker D. (C) 15. Lechkar A. 4. Offerhaus G. 8. Owusu T. 2. Hardeveld J. 17. Rossen N. 27. Brouwer P. 7. Hetli S.	1. Barkas V. (G) 2. Horemans S. 40. Didden M. 24. Viergever N. (C) 16. El Karouani S. 27. Engwanda A. 21. Zechiel G. 22. Rodriguez M. 20. de Wit D. 10. Cathline Y. 91. Haller S.
Substitutes
13. Bodak T. (G) 19. Hagedoorn S. 29. Malone D. 16. Mertens D. 11. Noslin T. 5. Nwankwo N. 28. Oudsten R. 20. Reiziger D. (G) 39. Ritmeester van de Kamp J. 30. Tejan K.	15. Blake A. 8. Bozdogan C. 25. Brouwer M. (G) 17. Demircan E. 44. Eerdhuijzen M. 5. Finnsson K. 33. Gadellaa K. (G) 7. Jensen V. 26. Jonathans M. 9. Min D. 55. Murkin D. 3. van der Hoorn M.
Coaches
Correia A.	Jans R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2', Lechkar A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
56', 1 - 0, Hetli S. ⚽, Offerhaus G. (A),
59', Hardeveld J. ↓, Ritmeester van de Kamp J. ↑,
59', Lechkar A. ↓, Noslin T. ↑,
64', Haller S. 🟨,
66', Engwanda A. 🟨,
70', Offerhaus G. 🟨,
72', Cathline Y. ↓, Blake A. ↑,
72', Rodriguez M. ↓, Demircan E. ↑,
72', Haller S. ↓, Min D. ↑,
79', Ogidi Nwankwo N. ↓, Mertens D. ↑,
79', Rossen N. ↓, Malone D. ↑,
85', Zechiel G. ↓, Bozdogan C. ↑,
86', Viergever N. ↓, van der Hoorn M. ↑,
88', Hetli S. ↓, Tejan K. ↑,
90+3', 1 - 1, Bozdogan C. ⚽, Engwanda A. (A),

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Utrecht may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Utrecht will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Telstar
Dutch Eredivisie
07.11.25	Twente - Telstar	0:0 ✺
01.11.25	Telstar - Excelsior	2:2 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
29.10.25	Lisse - Telstar	0:5 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
25.10.25	Sparta Rotterdam - Telstar	1:0 ✺
19.10.25	Telstar - Heerenveen	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 TTWLL
- FC Utrecht
Dutch Eredivisie
09.11.25	Utrecht - Ajax	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
06.11.25	Utrecht - Porto	1:1 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
02.11.25	Utrecht - NEC Nijmegen	1:0 ✺
26.10.25	AZ Alkmaar - Utrecht	4:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
23.10.25	Freiburg - Utrecht	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WTWLL

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