Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 10 - Round 18

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday


	Utrera		Ciudad de Lucena

	1	X	2
	4.25	3.05	1.82
	4.1	3.25	1.87	Watch
	3.9	3	1.91
	4.18	3.34	1.88
	3.8	3.14	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.05 ↑ (3.76)	3.16 ↓ (3.23)	1.88 ↓ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Utrera
22.6%

Draw
28.9%

Ciudad de Lucena
48.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.2%

28.3%

47.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.6%

27.6%

48.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Utrera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Ciudad de Lucena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Utrera than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ciudad de Lucena than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Utrera - Ciudad de Lucena Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
64', (Penalty Awarded),
70', 1 - 1, ⚽,
76', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Utrera won 1.

Utrera has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Ciudad de Lucena is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Ciudad de Lucena is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Utrera won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 12:20. (average 1:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Utrera won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1.1:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	CD Utrera	5	4	0	1	7:5	2	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Utrera
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
11.01.26	Utrera - Bollullos	1:0 ✺
04.01.26	Sevilla C - Utrera	2:1 ✺
21.12.25	Utrera - Linense	3:3 ✺
14.12.25	Atlético Onubense - Utrera	3:1 ✺
07.12.25	Utrera - Pozoblanco	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WLTLW
- CD Ciudad de Lucena
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
11.01.26	Dos Hermanas - Ciudad de Lucena	2:4 ✺
04.01.26	Ciudad de Lucena - Cadiz CF B	3:0 ✺
20.12.25	Tomares - Ciudad de Lucena	0:0 ✺
14.12.25	Bollullos - Ciudad de Lucena	0:0 ✺
07.12.25	Ciudad de Lucena - Sevilla C	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
07.09.25	Ciudad de Lucena - Utrera	3:2
16.03.25	Ciudad de Lucena - Utrera	2:0
03.11.24	Utrera - Ciudad de Lucena	2:0
04.02.24	Utrera - Ciudad de Lucena	1:2
15.05.22	Utrera - Ciudad de Lucena	1:1 ET
30.01.22	Utrera - Ciudad de Lucena	0:2
09.10.21	Ciudad de Lucena - Utrera	0:1

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